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ETFs to Watch as IBM Shares Jump Following Q4 Earnings Beat
ZACKS· 2026-02-03 15:21
Core Insights - IBM's shares increased by 5.1% following the release of its better-than-expected fourth-quarter 2025 results, surpassing analysts' estimates on both earnings and revenue [1][10] Financial Performance - IBM reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $4.52, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.4%, while revenues surpassed the consensus mark by 2.5% [5] - Year-over-year, both EPS and revenues grew by double digits, with a 9% revenue growth at constant currency marking the highest level in over three years [5] - The company ended 2025 with a strong liquidity position, holding cash of $14.5 billion, and reported free cash flow of $7.55 billion in the fourth quarter, up from $6.16 billion in the prior year [8] Segment Performance - All four segments of IBM registered positive year-over-year growth, with the Infrastructure unit showing the strongest increase of 21%, driven by the z17 platform [6] - IBM's cumulative GenAI book of business exceeded $12.5 billion, with the Software unit contributing over $2 billion and Consulting over $10.5 billion, both achieving their largest quarterly increases to date [6] Future Outlook - IBM expects annual revenue growth to exceed 5% by the end of 2026 on a constant-currency basis, driven by a strong portfolio mix and productivity-related yield [2] - The company projects free cash flow to increase by $1 billion [2] Analyst Reactions - Following the earnings release, Bank of America analyst reiterated a buy rating and raised the target price from $335 to $340, while Bernstein SocGen Group analyst raised the price target to $330 from $280, maintaining a "Market Perform" rating [11] ETFs to Consider - Several ETFs hold significant stakes in IBM, including: - **First Trust NASDAQ Technology Dividend Index Fund (TDIV)**: $3.81 billion in net assets, 7.81% weightage in IBM, surged 24.7% over the past year [13] - **FT Vest Technology Dividend Target Income ETF (TDVI)**: $281 million in net assets, 7.81% weightage in IBM, soared 14.9% over the past year [14] - **AXS Green Alpha ETF (NXTE)**: Actively managed portfolio with 6.04% weightage in IBM, rallied 28.3% over the past year [15] - **State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P Sector Neutral Dividend ETF (SPDG)**: $11.8 million in net assets, 5.71% weightage in IBM, gained 13% over the past year [16] - **Invesco Dow Jones Industrial Average Dividend ETF (DJD)**: $415.7 million in market value, 5.40% weightage in IBM, rallied 13.1% over the past year [17]