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高临访谈_专家追踪访谈外卖行业vs2024年第二季度展望2 Jul 2024_zho
MEITUANMEITUAN(US:MPNGY)2024-07-10 08:37

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Meituan's first quarter takeaway orders reached 5.46 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 28.1%, exceeding expectations [38] - The average order value (AOV) for takeaway is expected to stabilize in the second half of the year, with a projected increase in operating profit for the second quarter [24][32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The flash purchase business saw significant growth, with order volume expected to reach 8.8 to 8.9 million in the second quarter, a year-on-year increase of approximately 42% [16] - The average order value for flash purchases is around 50-60 yuan, while the average order value for general flash purchases is about 40 yuan [2][16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The takeaway market is projected to see order volumes between 59 million and 60 million in the second quarter, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17-18% [16] - The competitive landscape for in-store services remains stable, with Douyin's recent commission increases having a limited impact on Meituan's performance [2] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Meituan is restructuring its operations to focus on "core local commerce," with the CEO of this new division overseeing the integration of takeaway and in-store services [4][43] - The company aims to achieve a gross merchandise volume (GMV) target of 1 trillion yuan for in-store services this year, indicating a strong commitment to growth in this area [2] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the long-term development of the flash purchase business, citing potential for increased commission rates and reduced delivery costs [2] - The overall market growth for takeaway is expected to stabilize, with a projected year-on-year order growth of 15-18% in the second quarter [35] Other Important Information - The profitability of flash purchase merchants has declined from 70% in the second half of last year to 50-60% currently, primarily due to higher losses from new stores and lower average order values in lower-tier markets [2][48] - The integration of the takeaway and in-store business units is expected to enhance operational efficiency and market share [44] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the expectations for Meituan's takeaway business in the second quarter? - The expected order volume for Meituan's takeaway business is between 59 million and 60 million, with a year-on-year growth of 17-18% [16] Question: How is the flash purchase business performing? - The flash purchase business is expected to reach 8.8 to 8.9 million orders in the second quarter, reflecting a year-on-year growth of approximately 42% [16] Question: What are the implications of the recent commission increases by Douyin? - The impact of Douyin's commission increases on Meituan's in-store services is expected to be limited, with Meituan's performance remaining stable [2] Question: How is Meituan addressing the profitability of its merchants? - The profitability of flash purchase merchants has decreased, with around 50-60% currently profitable, down from 70% last year [2][48]