Workflow
Mercedes-Benz(MBGYY) - 2024 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
Mercedes-BenzMercedes-Benz(US:MBGYY)2024-10-25 11:33

Financial Data and Key Metrics - Group revenue impacted by lower pricing and mix for cars, with EBIT at €2.5 billion and EPS at €1.81 [6] - Cash flow at €2.4 billion, ending with net industrial liquidity of €29 billion [6] - Cars segment EBIT at €1.2 billion with a ROS of 4.7%, impacted by BEV stock clearing, dealer support in China, and warranty cost phasing [9][10] - Vans segment ROS decreased from 15% to 13.5%, with CFBIT at €0.9 billion and cash conversion rate of 1.4% [14][15] - Mobility segment EBIT at €300 million, with return on equity at 8.9% [16] Business Line Performance - Cars sales at 504k units, with core segment up 4% driven by GLC and CLE models [6] - Top-End Vehicles (TEV) impacted by softer market in Asia, particularly China, with S-Class demand stable but wholesale adjusted [7][8] - Electrified vehicles down 15%, while plug-in hybrids up 10% globally, driven by the US [8] - Vans sales down 13%, mainly due to lower demand in service and crafts business, with BEV sales at 4,400 units [14] Market Performance - US market shows solid momentum, Europe stable, while China remains challenging with strong competition [19] - TEV segment expected to improve in Q4, supported by G-Class, E AMG, GT, and SL models [19] - xEV share year-to-date at 18%, expected to reach 18%-19% for the full year [20] Strategy and Industry Competition - Company is focusing on a massive product launch initiative, balancing ICE and EV offerings [23] - Investments in technology, including Level 3 autonomous driving with increased operating speed up to 95 km/h [5] - Capital allocation remains a priority, with €10 billion returned to shareholders year-to-date via dividends and share buybacks [5] Management Commentary on Operating Environment and Outlook - Macro environment deteriorated, with competitive landscape remaining demanding [3] - Q4 expected to improve with better mix, normalization of warranty costs, and no BEV stock clearing measures [20] - Company plans to step up efforts on cost efficiencies and material cost reductions [23] Other Important Information - Share buyback program has reached €6.3 billion, with plans to seek authorization for another 10% at the next AGM in May 2025 [17][18] - Changes in consolidation scope due to CSRD and ESRS requirements, adding seven entities to headcount [22] Q&A Session Summary Tim Rokossa (Deutsche Bank) - Question: Supplier and dealer compensations in China, and shareholder return framework [26] - Answer: Supplier compensations expected to decrease in 2025, dealer support in China to recalibrate over time [28][29] - Answer: Shareholder return framework remains unchanged, with plans to renew 10% share buyback authorization [30] Stephen Reitman (Bernstein) - Question: S-Class demand in China and Q4 outlook [32] - Answer: Retail demand for S-Class stable, Q4 outlook confirmed with improved supply levels [33] Patrick Hummel (UBS) - Question: Cost measures to offset market headwinds and European CO2 compliance [35] - Answer: Company will intensify cost measures and adjust capacity as needed, with focus on xEVs to meet CO2 targets [39][40] George Galliers (Goldman Sachs) - Question: Provisioning levels and cash conversion [42] - Answer: Warranty and BEV stock clearing measures not expected to repeat in Q4, with cash conversion supported by working capital management [44][45] Jose Asumendi (JPMorgan) - Question: Product offensive timeline and China strategy [47] - Answer: Key products like CLA and MMA family to launch in 2025, with focus on BBAC profitability and local supply chain in China [48][51] Philippe Houchois (Jefferies) - Question: Warranty issues and premium strategy effectiveness [54] - Answer: Warranty phasing in Q3 not a repeat issue, with focus on cost and top-line adjustments to improve profitability [55][57] Henning Cosman (Barclays) - Question: Free cash flow sustainability and 2025 outlook [60] - Answer: Cash conversion target of 0.8-1 maintained, with investment prioritization supporting cash flow in 2025 [61][62]