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Global Oil and Gas_Global Oil & Gas Valuation Sheets 12 December 2024

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the Global Oil and Gas industry, discussing various companies and macroeconomic factors affecting the sector [2][10]. Core Insights and Arguments - Commodity Prices: - Brent front month price is projected to be 79.95perbarrelfor2024,withaforecastof79.95** per barrel for 2024, with a forecast of **82.18 for 2023 [9][10]. - WTI front month price is expected to be 75.76for2024,with75.76** for 2024, with **77.56 for 2023 [9][10]. - Refining Margins: - European composite margin is expected to average 6.12 in 2024, with a peak of 35.53 in 2022 [9][10]. - US composite margin is projected to be 5.84 in 2024, down from 9.04 in 2023 [9][10]. - Market Dynamics: - The Brent-Ural spread is forecasted to be 10.93 in 2024, indicating a significant change from previous years [9][10]. - The Asian spot price (JKM) is expected to average 11.99 in 2024, reflecting a decrease from 14.23 in 2023 [9][10]. Important but Overlooked Content - Analyst Certifications: The report includes a disclaimer about potential conflicts of interest due to UBS's business relationships with companies covered in the research [2][10]. - Definitions and Metrics: Key financial metrics such as EV/DACF, EBITDAX, and refining capacity are defined, providing clarity on the financial analysis used in the report [12][13]. Company Mentions - The report mentions several major companies in the oil and gas sector, including BP, Hess Corporation, Shell, and ExxonMobil, indicating a broad coverage of the industry [2][10]. This summary encapsulates the essential insights and data points from the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and projections for the global oil and gas industry.