Workflow
Dana(DAN) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
DANDana(DAN)2025-02-20 18:14

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the full year, sales decreased by nearly 300million,reflectingsoftnessinkeyareas,particularlyinEVandoffhighwaymarkets[7][21]AdjustedEBITDAforthefourthquarterwas300 million, reflecting softness in key areas, particularly in EV and off-highway markets [7][21] - Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter was 186 million, with a profit margin of 8%, representing a 170 basis point improvement year-over-year [22] - Full year adjusted EBITDA was 885million,885 million, 40 million higher than the previous year, with a profit margin of 8.6%, a 60 basis point improvement [23] - Free cash flow improved from a slightly negative position in 2023 to 70millionin2024,withexpectationstotriplein2025[10][34]BusinessLineDataandKeyMetricsChangesOrganicsaleswere70 million in 2024, with expectations to triple in 2025 [10][34] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Organic sales were 135 million lower in Q4 due to lower OEM production of heavy vehicles, while adjusted EBITDA on organic sales was 33millionhigherduetoimprovedcostefficiencies[27]Thecostsavingprogramcontributed33 million higher due to improved cost efficiencies [27] - The cost-saving program contributed 10 million to adjusted EBITDA in Q4, with similar contributions expected for the full year [28][30] - The company anticipates a decline in organic sales of approximately 285millionfor2025,drivenbylowerdemandacrossallendmarkets[37]MarketDataandKeyMetricsChangesThelightvehiclemarketisexpectedtoremainflatyearoveryear,consistentwithothersuppliersexpectations[16]Commercialvehiclemarketsareanticipatedtostabilizetowardstheendoftheyear,withbeneficialimpactsexpectedfromprebuysassociatedwith2026emissionslegislation[17]Thebacklogdecreasedto285 million for 2025, driven by lower demand across all end markets [37] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The light vehicle market is expected to remain flat year-over-year, consistent with other suppliers' expectations [16] - Commercial vehicle markets are anticipated to stabilize towards the end of the year, with beneficial impacts expected from pre-buys associated with 2026 emissions legislation [17] - The backlog decreased to 650 million, down about 300millionfromthepreviousyear,primarilyduetolowervolumesonexistingprograms[19][20]CompanyStrategyandDevelopmentDirectionThecompanyisfocusedoncompletingtheoffhighwaydivestiture,withexpectationstoannounceatransactioninearlyQ2[10][11]AcommitmenttoachievingadjustedEBITDAmarginsof10300 million from the previous year, primarily due to lower volumes on existing programs [19][20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on completing the off-highway divestiture, with expectations to announce a transaction in early Q2 [10][11] - A commitment to achieving adjusted EBITDA margins of 10% in 2025 and pushing towards double digits in 2026 is emphasized [14] - The company is taking a more measured approach to EV investments, reducing capital expenditure intensity moving forward [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that while the market is showing some weakness, early signs indicate that conditions may be better than previously feared [18] - The company expects to see a recovery in the second half of the year, with improved demand as inventories normalize [42] - Management expressed confidence in the execution of the 300 million cost reduction program, which is expected to significantly enhance profitability [120] Other Important Information - The company is targeting a net leverage of around one times through the cycle, aiming for a conservative balance sheet [15] - The impact of foreign currency translation was noted as a headwind, with expectations of approximately $195 million in sales impact for 2025 [38] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on off-highway divestiture timeline - Management confirmed a robust process with strong interest and expects to sign a transaction in early Q2 [46] Question: Clarification on 2025 guidance and backlog segmentation - The light vehicle outlook is based on specific programs rather than overall market trends, with the majority of backlog in light vehicle driveline parts [49][50] Question: Tax guidance and valuation allowances - Management explained that the volatility in EPS is due to changes in income mix and valuation allowances, with expectations for normalization post-divestiture [54][58] Question: Commercial vehicle market turnaround - Management indicated that improvements in the commercial vehicle sector are expected to begin in Q1, with significant cost savings anticipated [71] Question: Impact of tariffs on pricing strategy - The company intends to pass through any tariff impacts to customers and has formally notified them of this strategy [87][116] Question: Backlog composition and future activity - Management clarified that backlog calculations do not include additional vehicle volume on current programs, focusing instead on new variants [111]