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极兔速递-W(01519) - 2024 H2 - 业绩电话会
J&T EXPRESSJ&T EXPRESS(HK:01519)2025-03-05 17:52

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2024, the company handled 24.6 billion parcels, a year-on-year increase of 31% [7] - Revenue reached $10.3 billion, marking a year-on-year increase of 16% [7] - Adjusted EBIT was $301 million, a significant turnaround from a loss of $335 million in the previous year [7] - Net profit was $114 million, representing the first full year of profitability in the company's history [7][28] - Total revenue increased by 15.9% year-on-year from $8.8 billion in 2023 to $10.3 billion in 2024 [19] - Adjusted net profit reached $200 million in 2024, a turnaround from an adjusted net loss of $432 million in 2023 [28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In China, the company handled 19.8 billion parcels, a year-on-year increase of 29%, with adjusted EBIT reaching $147 million [8][25] - In Southeast Asia, parcel volume increased by 41% to 4.6 billion parcels, with revenue rising by 22.3% to $3.2 billion [12][21] - New markets saw a 22% increase in parcel volume, handling 281 million parcels, with revenue growing by 76.1% to $576 million [15][25] - The cross-border business revenue decreased by 88.7% to $75 million due to a strategic shift to focus on B2B [27] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company's market share in China increased to 11.3%, while in Southeast Asia, it reached 28.6%, marking a 3.2 percentage point increase from 2023 [8][12] - The cumulative parcel volume of China's express delivery industry grew by 21.5% in 2024, indicating a robust market environment [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to solidify its market position in Southeast Asia and China while expanding into new markets [16] - Strategies include reducing costs through refined management, leveraging expertise from China, and enhancing service quality [16] - The company plans to capture changes in business flow due to e-commerce globalization and strengthen its brand [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged challenges in the express delivery industry but expressed confidence in long-term growth and profitability [17] - The company is committed to continuous self-improvement and maintaining a competitive edge in a challenging market [17] - Management expects to achieve full-year EBITDA breakeven for new markets in 2025 [55] Other Important Information - The company reported a significant improvement in cash flow, with a net cash inflow from operating activities of $807 million in 2024 [28] - Free cash flow turned positive for the first time, reaching $252 million [29] Q&A Session Summary Question: Performance of TikTok Shop in Mexico and expectations for parcel volume growth - Management indicated that TikTok Shop began operations in Mexico in February 2025, and the performance is still in early stages [32] - The company expects meaningful contributions to parcel volume growth in new markets as operations develop [32] Question: Expectations for domestic parcel volume growth and competition in 2025 - The company reported a 29% year-on-year increase in parcel volume in China, with expectations to maintain growth despite competition [33] Question: Specific measures for cost reduction in China and future expectations - Management highlighted improvements in operational efficiency and cost optimization measures, with expectations for further reductions [36] Question: Competitive trends in the return parcel market - Management noted that return services have higher profitability than normal delivery services, and competition is expected to increase [38] Question: Business strategy in Southeast Asia and price trends - The company aims to increase market share and expects unit prices to decrease by 5% to 10% annually over the next few years [44] Question: Cash flow position and pressures from debt repayment - The company maintains a strong cash position with sufficient cash equivalents to cover interest-bearing debt, with no near-term repayment pressures [47] Question: Updates on new markets and potential opportunities - Management is optimistic about achieving breakeven in new markets by 2025 and is exploring opportunities in Latin America and the Middle East [55] Question: Year-on-year volume growth in Southeast Asia and major volume drivers - The company expects a parcel volume growth of 20% to 30% in Southeast Asia for 2025, with strong growth observed in the first two months [59] Question: CapEx adjustments in Southeast Asia - The company plans to continue investing in Southeast Asia to solidify its market leadership and capture growth opportunities [63]