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Aflac(AFL) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
AFLAflac(AFL)2025-05-01 12:00

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Aflac reported net earnings per diluted share of 0.05,significantlyimpactedbynetinvestmentlossescomparedtonetinvestmentgainsinQ12024[5]Adjustedearningsperdilutedshareremainedunchangedat0.05, significantly impacted by net investment losses compared to net investment gains in Q1 2024 [5] - Adjusted earnings per diluted share remained unchanged at 1.66 year over year [5][13] - Adjusted return on equity (ROE) was 12.7% excluding foreign currency remeasurement, indicating a solid performance [13] - Adjusted book value per share, excluding foreign currency remeasurement, increased by 2.2% [13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Aflac Japan experienced a 12.6% year-over-year sales increase, driven by significant contributions from Sumitas and a 6.3% increase in cancer insurance sales [5][6] - Aflac US saw a 3.5% year-over-year increase in sales, with strong performance in group life, disability, and network dental [8] - Net earned premiums in Aflac Japan declined by 5%, while underlying earned premiums adjusted for deferred profit liability and reinsurance declined by 1.4% [14] - In the US, net earned premiums increased by 1.8%, with persistency rising by 60 basis points year over year to 79.3% [17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Aflac Japan's total benefit ratio was 65.8%, down 120 basis points year over year, while the US total benefit ratio was 47.7%, up 120 basis points year over year [15][18] - Persistency in Japan remained solid at 93.8%, up 40 basis points year over year [16] - The expense ratio in Japan increased to 19.6%, primarily due to higher technology expenses, while the US expense ratio decreased to 37.6% [16][19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Aflac aims to appeal to younger customers through products like Sumitas, which has been successful in reaching this demographic [6] - The company is focused on maintaining strong premium persistency and driving profitable growth through stronger underwriting discipline [8] - Aflac continues to leverage its strong capital and cash flows while maintaining prudent liquidity and capital management [10] - The company is committed to reinforcing its leading position in the life insurance markets of Japan and the US [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the demand for Aflac's products, emphasizing the importance of being a partner in health for policyholders [9] - The company is optimistic about the growth potential in both Japan and the US, with plans to continue capital deployment and maintain a strong dividend track record [11][12] - Management acknowledged the challenges posed by macroeconomic factors but remains committed to long-term capital management strategies [36] Other Important Information - Aflac repurchased 900millionworthofitsownstockandpaid900 million worth of its own stock and paid 317 million in dividends during Q1 2025 [23] - The company ended the quarter with strong capital ratios, including an estimated regulatory ESR above 250% [24] - Aflac Japan's cancer insurance sales are expected to grow, supported by the launch of a new cancer product in March 2025 [52] Q&A Session Summary Question: Why did the ESR ratio decline in Q1? - Management explained that the decline was due to the strengthening yen, partially offset by higher Japan interest rates and significant dividends flowing from Aflac Japan to Aflac Inc [32] Question: How should capital planning be approached given recent macro changes? - Management stated that capital management is designed with a long-term view, and they do not plan to change their approach significantly despite recent volatility [36] Question: What are the expectations for the new cancer product sales? - Management expressed confidence in the new cancer product's growth, anticipating continued sales increases throughout 2025 [52] Question: How is the competitive landscape for medical insurance in Japan? - Management acknowledged increased competition but emphasized Aflac's pioneering position and unique services that provide a competitive advantage [56] Question: How does the company view the impact of the yen on its operations? - Management noted that while a strengthening yen introduces volatility, it also leads to higher future dividends in dollar terms from Aflac Japan, which offsets some negative impacts [95]