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Marathon(MPC) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
MarathonMarathon(US:MPC)2025-05-06 15:00

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a first quarter net loss of $0.24 per share and returned over $1,300,000,000 to shareholders through dividends and repurchases [18][25] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was approximately $2,000,000,000, lower sequentially by $145,000,000 due to decreased results in refining and marketing and renewable diesel segments [19][20] - Operating cash flow excluding changes in working capital was $1,000,000,000 for the quarter, driven by the strength and growth of the midstream business [23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Refining utilization was at 89%, processing 2,600,000 barrels of crude per day, with significant planned turnaround activity particularly in the Gulf Coast region [5][19] - The Midstream segment adjusted EBITDA grew 8% year over year, with distributions from MPLX increasing by 12.5% compared to the previous year [6][21] - The renewable diesel segment faced challenges with a 70% utilization rate due to unplanned downtime and changes in regulatory credits impacting margins [21][22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Refined product inventories have drawn for the ninth straight week and are below the five-year average, which is expected to support demand as the summer driving season approaches [7][8] - The company anticipates around 800,000 barrels per day of refinery closures in the U.S. and Europe this year, which could strengthen margins [8][10] - The Gulf Coast refinery completed its closure in the first quarter, with additional closures expected in California over the next twelve months [8][10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is progressing a $1,250,000,000 standalone capital plan for 2025, with 70% targeted on high return projects [13] - Investments are being made in the West Coast value chain, particularly in the Los Angeles refinery, to improve reliability and energy efficiency while complying with emission regulations [9][10] - The company aims to leverage its fully integrated refining system and geographic diversification to deliver peer-leading cash generation [14][28] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted improved refined cracks and strong demand signals, indicating readiness to meet seasonal demand in the second quarter [34][36] - The company remains optimistic about demand growth across its domestic and export businesses, with steady year-over-year demand for gasoline and growth in diesel and jet fuel [36][38] - Management expressed confidence in the long-term competitive advantage of the U.S. refining industry due to accessibility to nearby crude and low-cost natural gas [11][12] Other Important Information - The company is focused on optimizing its portfolio to deliver outperformance and enhance competitiveness through capital allocation [29] - The company has a minimum target of about $1,000,000,000 of cash on the balance sheet to ensure sufficient liquidity [25][64] - The company is committed to maintaining an investment-grade credit profile while managing its balance sheet effectively [25][66] Q&A Session Summary Question: Demand perspective and economic slowdown - Management observed improved refined cracks and strong demand signals, indicating readiness to meet seasonal demand [34][36] Question: West Coast multiyear outlook - Management highlighted investments in the LA asset and its competitive advantages, while monitoring the regulatory environment closely [40][42] Question: Capture rates and commercial performance - Management emphasized the importance of commercial performance and sustainable advantages built over the years, aiming for capture rates approaching 100% [54][56] Question: Crude quality discounts and OPEC volumes - Management expressed optimism about benefiting from heavy crude runs and potential discounts from OPEC's increased volumes [72][74] Question: Midstream distribution growth sustainability - Management indicated that the 12.5% distribution increase is expected to be durable for multiple years, supported by growth opportunities in MPLX [78][81] Question: Renewable diesel business profitability - Management is focused on operational improvements and regulatory engagement to enhance profitability in the renewable diesel segment [91][96]