mec(MEC) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total sales for Q1 2025 decreased by 15.9% year over year to $135.6 million, attributed to softer customer demand and inventory destocking [21][22] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 was$12.2 million, down from $18.5 million in the prior year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 9$5.4 million, down from $7.9 million in the prior year [24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net sales to the commercial vehicle market decreased by 13.7$50.9 million, outperforming the broader market by 300 basis points [7] - Powersports market revenue decreased by 26.5% year over year, driven by inventory destocking and soft demand [9] - Construction and access market revenue decreased by 31.4% year over year, reflecting weak demand across non-residential and public infrastructure markets [10] - Agricultural market revenue decreased by 26.9% year over year, with uncertainty in demand due to interest rates and inventory destocking [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The commercial vehicle market is expected to see a decrease of 22.9% in production in 2025, with a potential recovery in 2026 [7][8] - The military market is projected to increase by mid-teens, while other end markets are expected to see high-teens growth [27] - The agriculture market is anticipated to decline by mid-twenties percentage in 2025, with a gradual recovery expected in 2026 [27][66] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is maintaining its full-year guidance, driven by strong execution and demand in less cyclical military and other end markets [5] - The focus remains on operational efficiency and cost discipline through the MBX framework, which has contributed to margin improvements [4][14] - M&A activity is a cornerstone of the company's strategy to diversify its customer base and expand into high-growth adjacent markets [17][81] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ability to expand market share despite a dynamic macroeconomic environment [19] - The company is closely monitoring regulatory and macroeconomic developments that could impact demand in the second half of the year [5][27] - A contingency plan has been developed to manage potential demand shifts and maintain profitability [19][28] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 1.7 million of common stock during the quarter, with a commitment to return capital to shareholders [16] - The company expects to be below one times net debt leverage by the end of 2025, excluding M&A activity [15][29] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the outlook for end markets in the second half? - Management indicated a slight uptick in the commercial vehicle market in the second half, driven by potential regulation changes and pre-buys [31][32] Question: Are there opportunities related to tariffs and reshoring? - Management noted ongoing discussions with customers regarding tariffs and reshoring, with a strong domestic sourcing position [33][36] Question: What is the expected recovery for agriculture and powersports? - Agriculture is expected to decline mid-twenties, while powersports is forecasted to decrease mid-single to mid-teens [41][66] Question: How is the company progressing towards the 100 million new business target? - The company is ahead of schedule, with $35 to$40 million booked by April, primarily from existing customers [71][74] Question: What are the priorities for M&A activity? - The top priority is diversification of end markets, followed by maintaining an accretive margin profile [82]