Yunlu Materials(SH:688190)2025-05-08 01:55Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The conference focuses on the emerging field of amorphous motors, which is nearing the industrialization threshold and approaching mass production [3] - Amorphous alloys are set to replace traditional silicon steel sheets, representing a fundamental innovation in the century-old motor industry with vast application potential [3] - Short-term applications are concentrated on new energy vehicle (NEV) electric drive systems (both range-extended and pure electric), with long-term expansion into home appliances, industrial motors, aircraft, and humanoid robots [3] Key Company Recommendations 1. Yunlu Co., Ltd. (Core Target) - Industry Positioning and Prospects: The amorphous motor sector is at a critical juncture, with significant attention from various stakeholders including secondary market investors and major manufacturers [3] - Industry Progress: - Increased participation in the third Amorphous Motor Conference, with attendance rising from 1 to 4-5 secondary market investors [3] - Major manufacturers like GAC, BYD, and NIO are actively involved, with GAC Aion already implementing amorphous motors in their HL model, achieving a 40-60% reduction in iron loss and a 2% increase in energy efficiency, leading to an additional 50 km range [3] - Technical Breakthroughs and Challenges: - Amorphous materials exhibit low iron loss and high magnetic permeability, making them suitable for high-frequency and high-speed applications [3] - Current processing bottlenecks due to the brittle nature of amorphous strips, but optimism exists for improved yield rates with scale [3] - Economic Viability and Comparisons: - Cost savings of 2400-2800 yuan per vehicle due to reduced battery usage, with a projected market size of 9 billion yuan based on a 30% penetration rate in NEVs [3] - Yunlu holds a nearly 50% market share in the transformer sector, with strong cost control reflected in gross and net margins of 20% [3] - Expected revenue of 450 million yuan in 2024, representing a 25% year-on-year increase, with a current PE ratio of approximately 25 [3] - Long-term Potential: - With a 30% penetration rate in the domestic NEV market, potential annual revenue could reach 9 billion yuan, translating to a profit of 450 million yuan if Yunlu captures 50% market share [3] 2. Antai Technology - Recognized as one of the traditional leaders in amorphous strip production, focusing on technological breakthroughs and expanding automotive client base [3] Market Size and Horizontal Expansion - Current demand for electric motors in the NEV sector is approximately 100,000 units, with expected shipments of nearly 10,000 units in 2024, indicating a potential demand explosion [5] - Horizontal Applications: - Humanoid robots, such as Tesla's Optimus, utilize amorphous axial flux motors for high power density scenarios [5] - eVTOL aircraft, which are sensitive to energy efficiency, represent a potential new market [5] - Home appliances and industrial motors have significant future replacement potential [5] - Short-term Challenges: Yield improvement progress, validation cycles from major manufacturers, and technological competition from silicon steel manufacturers [5] - Long-term Trends: The acceleration of "energy efficiency competition" in the NEV sector is expected to drive technological iterations, with amorphous materials likely to penetrate all motor applications, smoothly replacing silicon steel sheets [5] Risks and Outlook - The amorphous motor industry is on the brink of an explosion, with technological breakthroughs and endorsements from major manufacturers catalyzing the industrialization process [4] - Yunlu Co., Ltd. is identified as the top pick, with industry validation and volume growth being key tracking points, and a long-term potential for market capitalization to double or more [4]