Sabra(US:SBRA)2025-05-06 18:02Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The normalized FFO per share for Q1 2025 was $0.35, up from $0.34 in Q1 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 2.9% [13] - The normalized AFFO per share for Q1 2025 was $0.37, compared to $0.35 in Q1 2024, indicating a year-over-year increase of 5.7% [13] - Cash rental income from the triple net portfolio totaled $90 million for the quarter, up from $89 million in Q1 2024 [13] - Cash NOI from the managed senior housing portfolio increased to $24.1 million in Q1 2025 from $19.1 million in Q1 2024, a year-over-year increase of 26.3% [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Skilled nursing and triple net senior housing EBITDARM rent coverage reached 2.19 and 1.41, respectively, with behavioral health coverage at 3.77, marking the highest levels since year-end 2023 [5] - Skilled occupancy increased by 80 basis points sequentially, while the skilled mix improved by 10 basis points [6] - Triple net senior housing occupancy rose by 50 basis points sequentially [7] - The same store managed senior housing portfolio's revenue grew by 6.3% year-over-year, with occupancy increasing from 82.6% in Q1 2024 to 85.4% in Q1 2025 [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The domestic portfolio occupancy was 83%, gaining 340 basis points year-over-year, while the Canadian portfolio occupancy was 90.9%, adding 140 basis points [10] - RevPAR in the same store portfolio increased by 2.8% year-over-year, with Canadian RevPAR growing by 4.9% [10] - Cash NOI growth in US communities was 14.4% year-over-year, while Canadian communities saw a 24.7% increase [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on a busy deal pipeline primarily in senior housing, with over $200 million in awarded deals expected to close this quarter, surpassing the total for all of 2024 [7][8] - The strategy includes entering new relationships with proven operators and maintaining a selective approach to acquisitions [33][56] - The company aims to balance its portfolio between senior housing and skilled nursing, emphasizing the importance of operational recovery and predictable earnings [80][86] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about continued occupancy growth and potential Medicaid rate increases in the summer, which could enhance coverage [90] - The company remains cautious about the skilled nursing facility (SNF) market due to ongoing uncertainties regarding Medicaid reimbursement [70] - Management believes that the current operating environment will support improved coverage for the foreseeable future, despite potential challenges [90] Other Important Information - The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.30 per share, representing a payout of 81% of the first quarter normalized AFFO per share [18] - The net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio improved to 5.19 times as of March 31, 2025, down from 5.27 times at the end of 2024 [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on skilled nursing facility sale - Management confirmed that the expected $50 million skilled nursing facility sale is still on track, although regulatory hurdles have delayed the process [20] Question: Trajectory of RevPOR and expense growth - Management indicated that as occupancy increases, pricing power is expected to improve, leading to potential revenue growth [22][23] Question: Guidance and deal flow - Management reiterated that current acquisitions are not included in guidance until closed, maintaining a conservative approach to projections [28][29] Question: Competition in the transaction market - Management noted a robust pipeline of deals, primarily in senior housing, with private equity firms as frequent sellers [34][37] Question: Genesis exposure and NOI - Management reported that the impact of Genesis on NOI is negligible, with no missed payments and improved operations since subleasing to a trusted operator [50] Question: SNF acquisition attractiveness - Management highlighted challenges in acquiring SNFs, particularly those with financial difficulties, making them less attractive for investment [68] Question: SHOP portfolio occupancy trends - Management expects occupancy to pick up in the second quarter, particularly in Canadian assets, as seasonal factors improve [72] Question: Interest in large portfolios - Management emphasized a commitment to maintaining a simple and predictable strategy, focusing on smaller, manageable deals rather than large portfolios [80][81]