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可靠股份20250520

Summary of Conference Call on Reliable Co. and Adult Incontinence Products Market Industry Overview - The adult incontinence products market in China has significant potential, with a current penetration rate below 10%, compared to 60% in Europe and the US, and 80% in Japan. The market is expected to grow to around 50% over the next decade due to aging population and the nationwide promotion of long-term care insurance starting in 2025 [2][3][5]. Key Points and Arguments - Long-term Care Insurance Impact: The introduction of long-term care insurance is a crucial factor for market growth. Japan's experience shows that such insurance can significantly increase market penetration from 10% to 60% over 15 years. China's government plans to implement this insurance nationwide, which is expected to positively impact the adult incontinence products market [2][4][5]. - Reliable Co.'s Market Position: Reliable Co. is positioned as a market leader, leveraging brand development and channel strategies, particularly excelling in e-commerce. The company has made strategic adjustments in channel transformation, user operations, and digital marketing, which have shown growth effects in the 2024 annual report [2][6][11]. - Consumer Behavior: The market features a separation between users and purchasers, with online channels being significant. Consumers demand high quality, and brand recognition is gradually increasing. Membership user operations can enhance customer loyalty [2][8]. - Market Pricing Dynamics: The adult diaper market in China is characterized by chaotic pricing with many low-quality products. The promotion of long-term care insurance and market standardization is expected to phase out low-end products, leading to a shift towards quality and branding [2][12][13]. Additional Important Insights - Strategic Planning: Reliable Co.'s strategic planning for the next three years includes adapting to post-pandemic consumer behavior, channel transformation towards direct services, user operations to attract new customers, and increased digital marketing efforts [9][10]. - Competitive Advantage: Reliable Co. holds a competitive edge in government procurement and long-term care insurance sectors, supported by strategic supply chain investments. The company aims to become the absolute leader in the down-market segment [4][11]. - Challenges for SMEs: As the industry standardizes, small and medium enterprises may face challenges due to strict quality regulations, which could lead to market exit for those unable to meet standards [14]. - International Expansion Plans: Reliable Co. plans to expand internationally, targeting developed countries for adult incontinence products and developing countries for baby diapers and sanitary pads, leveraging its competitive product quality and flexible manufacturing capabilities [17]. - Profitability Outlook: After a period of low profitability due to various factors, the company anticipates significant growth in sales and profits over the next three years, driven by improved operational efficiency and cost control measures [18][19].