Workflow
商用航空发动机自主可控加速可期

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The commercial aviation engine market in China has significant potential, with a projected total demand of 2.6 trillion RMB over the next 20 years, averaging 130 billion RMB annually [1][3] - The global commercial aviation engine market is experiencing a supply-demand mismatch, with GE, Pratt & Whitney, and Rolls-Royce, along with their joint ventures, holding a 97% market share [1][5][10] - The aviation engine industry chain includes upstream raw materials (titanium alloys, high-temperature alloys), midstream component manufacturing, stealth coatings, control systems, and final assembly [1][6] Key Points - The urgent need for self-sufficiency in commercial aviation engines is driven by reliance on imported engines for domestic aircraft like the C919, which poses a supply risk [2][10] - The short nacelle system in commercial aviation engines accounts for 25% of the total value of the aircraft propulsion system, with thrust reversers making up half of that value [1][11] - The domestic market for new aircraft is estimated at 130 billion RMB annually, with the short nacelle system market exceeding 30 billion RMB [1][11] Market Dynamics - The global demand for commercial aviation engines is estimated at approximately 13 trillion RMB over the next 20 years, averaging 650 billion RMB annually [3] - CFM International, a joint venture between GE and Safran, has a significant technological advantage in the narrow-body aircraft segment, with the LEAP engine accumulating a large order backlog despite delivery delays [9][10] Development Progress - Chinese aviation engine manufacturers are accelerating self-research and development, with products like the Changjiang 1,000 and Changjiang 2000 currently in development [1][10] - The Changjiang 1,000 is designed for narrow-body aircraft, while the Changjiang 2000 is intended for wide-body aircraft with a takeoff thrust exceeding 35,000 kg [1][10] Additional Insights - The commercial aerospace capabilities are emerging, significantly impacting national defense systems, allowing defense departments to purchase space launch capabilities and commercial satellite constellations [3][26] - The rise of commercial space capabilities is expected to enhance national space capabilities, with companies like SpaceX leading advancements in low Earth orbit satellite deployment [26][27]