运达股份20260626

Summary of the Conference Call Company and Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the wind power industry, specifically highlighting the performance and outlook of Yunda Co., Ltd. (运达股份) [2][4][10]. Key Points and Arguments - Market Dynamics: The bidding price for land-based wind power has rebounded by 12%, benefiting from reduced internal competition and adjustments in evaluation rules. The total installed capacity for land-based wind power is expected to reach 100 GW in 2024, with offshore wind power projected to grow by 12% [2][3][7]. - Strong Performance: Yunda Co., Ltd. has shown robust performance in both domestic and international markets, with significant orders in land-based wind power and a doubling of overseas orders for two consecutive years [2][4][16]. - Future Demand: The future demand for wind power is assured, supported by the National Development and Reform Commission's new power system construction plan, which enhances wind power consumption capacity. The constraints on offshore wind power are largely resolved, leading to project initiations across various regions [2][8]. - Competitive Landscape: The offshore wind power market is stable, with major players including Goldwind Technology and Envision Energy. The trend is moving towards deep-sea development, with floating technology expected to reduce costs significantly [2][9]. - Company Background: Yunda Co., Ltd. originated from the Wind Energy Research Institute of Zhejiang Electromechanical Design Institute, achieving a market share increase from 6% in 2019 to 13% in 2024, making it the fourth largest company in China [2][10]. Financial Performance and Projections - Revenue Growth: The company has maintained an average growth rate of 30%-40% over the past five years. Despite a decline in profitability from 2022 to 2024 due to falling bidding prices, the net profit for 2022 was still 600 million yuan, with projections of 680 million yuan for the current year and 1 billion yuan for the next year [11][17]. - Cost Management: Yunda Co., Ltd. has a research and development expenditure ratio of about 3%, with a focus on self-manufacturing components to reduce costs and improve gross margins. The company is expected to benefit from a favorable cost structure, with steel prices dropping from 3,500 yuan to 3,000 yuan per ton [5][14][15]. International Market Insights - Overseas Expansion: Chinese wind turbine manufacturers, including Yunda, have seen a significant increase in overseas orders, with a doubling of orders in 2024. The European offshore wind market is projected to grow by 30%, while the Asia-Africa region may see growth below 20% [12][14]. - Competitor Challenges: Major overseas wind turbine companies like GE and Siemens are retracting their businesses due to poor cost control and low EBITDA margins. In contrast, Chinese companies are gaining market share due to competitive pricing [5][13]. Additional Important Insights - Technological Advancements: The first commercial floating project prototype has been signed, with expectations for larger-scale deployment by 2028-2029, indicating a significant technological advancement in the offshore wind sector [2][9]. - Investment Potential: Yunda Co., Ltd.'s stock is currently viewed as undervalued, with a strong potential for future performance as bidding prices rebound and profit margins improve [11][17].