三七互娱20250710

Summary of Conference Call Records Company and Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the gaming industry, specifically discussing the performance and future prospects of the company related to popular games such as "Douluo Dalu" and "Hunting Soul World" [1][2][4]. Core Insights and Arguments - The report emphasizes the potential for valuation recovery of leading games like "Douluo Dalu" and "Hunting Soul World" [1]. - The company has experienced over two years since regulatory penalties and is expected to see the resolution of these issues in the second half of the year [2]. - Profit forecasts for the company indicate expected revenues of 2.76 billion, 3.28 billion, and 3.79 billion for 2025 to 2027, representing year-on-year growth of 3%, 19%, and 16% respectively [2]. - The current valuation is projected at 15x, 12.5x, and 10.8x for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, indicating a low valuation compared to peers [2][3]. - The company is expected to achieve a target market value of 65.6 billion with a target stock price of 29.7, suggesting significant upside potential [3]. Financial Performance and Projections - The company’s Q1 2025 revenue was 4.24 billion, a year-on-year decline of 10.7%, attributed to product lifecycle impacts [5]. - The new games "Time Explosion" and "Heroes No Flash" are anticipated to contribute significantly to profits in Q2 2025 [7]. - The company has a strong dividend policy, with a payout ratio ranging from 30% to 84%, indicating a commitment to shareholder returns [6]. Game Pipeline and Market Position - The upcoming game "Douluo Dalu: Hunting Soul World" is set for full platform release on July 11, 2025, with over 1 million pre-registrations [7]. - The game pipeline includes various genres such as MMORPG, SLG, and card games, with several titles already having obtained licenses [8]. - Historical performance of the previous title "Douluo Dalu: Soul Master Duel" shows strong revenue sustainability, suggesting that the new title may perform even better [9][11]. Additional Important Insights - The company’s financial health is stable, with a focus on maintaining a robust game portfolio and exploring new market opportunities [4][6]. - The competitive landscape includes comparisons with companies like Kingnet, Giant Network, and Perfect World, with average PE ratios indicating a favorable valuation for the company [3][12]. - The report highlights the importance of marketing and user acquisition strategies in sustaining game performance over time [10].