立华股份20250522

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry or Company Involved - The notes pertain to the poultry and livestock industry, specifically focusing on the performance of a company involved in the breeding and sale of poultry products, including chickens and eggs. Core Points and Arguments - The average price of gold in the company for 2024 is approximately 12.9 per kilogram, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 5.8% [1] - The breeding cost for gold has significantly decreased to 11.7 per kilogram, down 14.6% year-on-year [1] - The overall profitability of the gold sector for 2024 is projected to be around 1.35 billion, with an average profit of 2.6 per kilogram, marking the highest point since 2021 [1] - In Q1, the company produced 120 million gold products, a year-on-year decrease of 8.7%, with an average sales price of 11 per kilogram, down 14.7% year-on-year [1] - The sales price for the deep soft product segment is 17.3 per kilogram, showing a year-on-year increase of 14.8% [2] - The overall cost for deep soft products is around 14.8 per kilogram, up 18% year-on-year [2] - The company’s output for deep soft products reached 480,000 heads, indicating a significant increase [2] - The yellow feathered chicken segment is expected to achieve good profitability, with prices initially declining but then rising, indicating a recovery phase in the industry [3] - The company anticipates profits of approximately 1.7 billion for 2025 and 1.6 billion for 2026, with a consistent growth rate of 8-10% per year in the gold segment [4] - The decline in costs is attributed to reduced feed prices and increased production capacity [4] - The breeding success rate is reported at 88%, with a survival rate of 94-95% [5] - The cost of weaning has decreased to around 310, with a target of over 300 [5] - The current capacity for breeding sows is between 120,000 to 130,000, with potential for further utilization [5] - The company is considering extending its operations into deep processing but is currently not pursuing this avenue [6] - The company’s market capitalization is noted at 16 billion, considered a strong bottom for investment [6] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - The overall industry is experiencing a recovery phase, but the enthusiasm for industry replenishment remains relatively low [3] - The company encourages investors to focus on the improving profitability of the entire sector [6]