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小鹏Mona受益标的梳理
XPENGXPENG(US:XPEV)2025-07-16 06:13

Summary of Conference Call Company and Industry Involved - The conference call primarily focused on Xpeng Motors and its new model Mona [1][2] Core Points and Arguments - Pricing and Market Expectations: The pricing for the Mona model was significantly above market expectations, with an anticipated price around RMB 155,800 [1] - Sales Performance: Initial sales figures indicated approximately 12,000 units sold within the first hour of launch, with the Max version accounting for 83% of sales [2] - Sales Forecast: Xpeng's total sales for Q2 are projected to be between 100,000 to 110,000 units, while the Mona model is expected to achieve 210,000 units in annual sales [2] - Supply Chain Dynamics: The supply chain, particularly Bojun Technology, is highlighted for its flexibility and significant profit potential, with a projected single vehicle value of RMB 3,500 for the Mona model [3] - Client Structure: Bojun's client base includes Li Auto (25% share) and Geely (15% share), with expectations of increased revenue from new electric vehicle models [4] - Financial Projections for Bojun: The revenue forecast for Bojun is between RMB 5.5 billion to 6.7 billion, with profits estimated at RMB 736 million to 885 million [5] - Growth Potential: Bojun is expected to maintain a 43-40% compound annual growth rate, suggesting a valuation of around 17-18 times earnings [6] Other Important but Overlooked Content - Material Trends: The use of magnesium alloys is noted for its cost-effectiveness and weight advantages over aluminum, which could enhance profitability for companies like Xingren Zhaomei [7][8] - Production Capacity: The production capacity for Bojun is currently high, indicating strong demand and potential for future growth [4][6] - Strategic Partnerships: There are strong ties between Xpeng and its suppliers, which may lead to collaborative opportunities in future vehicle features and technologies [9][10]