Summary of Conference Call on Quartz Fiber Electronic Fabric and Philihua Investment Value Analysis Industry Overview - The high-end PCB market is expected to benefit from the growth in server storage demand, with a projected market value of $10.9 billion in 2024, representing a 33% year-on-year increase, and a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12% over the next five years, driven primarily by strong demand from the AI computing sector for high-end copper-clad laminates and PCBs [1][3][4]. Company Insights: Philihua - Philihua is one of the few manufacturers globally capable of mass-producing quartz fiber, possessing an integrated supply chain from quartz materials to finished products. The acquisition of Zhongyi New Materials has strengthened its competitiveness in the electronic fabric sector, leading to explosive growth in its business [1][5]. - The company has significant growth potential in the electronic fabric business, with projected revenues of 200-300 million yuan in 2026, and the potential to reach a scale of 700-1,000 million yuan in the coming years, possibly achieving a market value of 20 billion yuan [3][25]. Product Advantages - Quartz fiber electronic fabric exhibits significant advantages over traditional glass fiber fabric, particularly in dielectric constant (approximately 3.78) and dielectric loss (theoretically up to 1/10,000), making it more suitable for high-speed data transmission, especially in 224G high-speed interconnect applications [1][2][8][12]. - The high-end copper-clad laminate market is projected to grow from over $4 billion in 2024 to nearly $7 billion by 2029, with an annual increment of about $3 billion. If fully covered by quartz fiber electronic fabric, this would create an additional market space of approximately $1 billion (around 10 billion yuan) each year [1][14]. Market Dynamics - The special electronic fabric market is highly competitive, with Philihua's subsidiary Zhongyi New Materials having a full order book and actively expanding production since launching its quartz fiber electronic fabric project in 2017 [1][16][17]. - The global top ten copper-clad laminate manufacturers hold a high market concentration, accounting for about 75% of global sales. The market for AI server copper-clad laminates is primarily dominated by Taiwanese companies, which have been conservative in their expansion plans, leading to a persistent supply-demand imbalance in high-end copper-clad laminates [15]. Future Outlook - The demand for high-end PCBs is expected to enter a new growth cycle from 2024 to 2029, driven by high-end requirements such as high multilayer boards, HDI, and packaging substrates [13]. - Philihua's traditional semiconductor and aerospace businesses are expected to maintain steady growth, with aerospace demand anticipated to recover strongly in 2026 [3][19][24]. - The company’s new electronic fabric business is projected to achieve significant revenue growth, potentially reaching 700-1,000 million yuan in the next few years, with a market valuation of 20 billion yuan being a reasonable expectation [25][26]. Investment Considerations - Philihua's overall investment strategy indicates a strong outlook for its electronic fabric segment, with the potential for substantial market share and revenue growth in the quartz fiber sector, supported by its leading position in the domestic and global markets [27].
石英纤维电子布专题梳理及菲利华投资价值分析