CAERI(SH:601965)2025-07-21 14:26Summary of Conference Call Notes Company and Industry Overview - The conference call discusses Qiyang Company, one of the six licensed automotive inspection institutions in China, holding approximately 20% market share in the industry. In 2023, it merged with Zhongjian, with Zhongjian holding over 50% of shares post-merger [2][6][11]. Core Insights and Arguments - Business Growth and Financial Performance: - Qiyang's revenue from inspection services is projected to reach 87% by 2024, with a net profit margin around 20% and a continuously rising gross margin. Despite increased personnel costs, overall cash flow remains healthy [2][7]. - Historical capital investments have consistently led to revenue growth in the inspection sector, indicating a strong correlation between capital expenditure and business performance [8]. - Market Potential in Inspection Sector: - The inspection sector within the automotive parts industry is expected to experience significant growth, particularly with the implementation of L2 level national standards for intelligent driving, which could increase the market value of passenger vehicle inspections by 56% to 180% [3][12]. - The traditional inspection price for new vehicles is around 2-3 million, and with the new standards, this could remain the same, effectively doubling the market space [3][12]. - Impact of Intelligent Connected Vehicles: - The intelligent connected vehicle industry is currently in a capital expenditure phase, with major companies investing heavily. For instance, Qiyang invested 2.38 billion yuan in 2022 for its East China headquarters, expected to be operational by 2026 [3][13]. - Revenue growth for intelligent connected vehicle companies is projected at 16% in 2025, with profit growth around 20%, leading to a potential profit range of 1.3 to 1.7 billion yuan in 2026 [3][14]. Additional Important Points - Valuation Model: - The valuation model for the inspection industry is based on a multiplication principle, focusing on the annual new vehicle application numbers and the inspection price per vehicle, which is influenced by policy changes [5]. - Comparative Performance: - Qiyang's Return on Equity (ROE) is higher than that of Zhongqi and Mishi but lower than Fuyao. Its Return on Assets (ROA) is competitive, indicating efficient asset utilization despite being a capital-intensive company [9]. - Policy Implications: - The recent public announcement of the national standard for intelligent connected vehicle safety requirements marks a significant milestone for companies with inspection capabilities, suggesting a favorable regulatory environment for Qiyang [10][11]. - Investment Considerations: - Investors are advised to monitor developments in the intelligent connected vehicle sector, including policy changes and capacity expansions, as these factors indicate a dual benefit phase for the industry [15]. This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, highlighting the strategic positioning of Qiyang Company within the automotive inspection industry and the anticipated growth driven by regulatory changes and capital investments.