Churchill Downs rporated(CHDN) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported all-time record net revenue of $934 million and adjusted EBITDA of $451 million for the second quarter of 2025, marking the fifth consecutive second quarter of record results [6][26] - Adjusted EBITDA for the Live and Historical Racing segment grew by $17 million or 6% compared to the prior year quarter, driven primarily by HRM growth in Kentucky and Virginia [27][29] - The company generated $455 million or $6.29 per share of free cash flow in the first half of the year, with a reduction in 2025 maintenance capital projection by $10 million to $80 million to $90 million [32][35] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Churchill Downs Racetrack experienced a slight decline in adjusted EBITDA by $1 million, less than 1%, due to a high prior year comparison from the 150th Kentucky Derby [27] - All HRM properties in Kentucky delivered growth in the second quarter, with particularly strong performance from Northern Kentucky and Louisville venues [28] - The Exacta business contributed over $3 million to adjusted EBITDA growth from both third-party customers and HRM properties [29] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Average viewership for the Kentucky Derby broadcast reached nearly 18 million, a 6% increase over 2024, with peak viewership climbing to almost 22 million, up 8% from last year [10] - Social media impressions during Derby Week totaled over 285 million, a 67% increase from 2024 [11] - Wagering on the Derby race was up 11% over last year's all-time high, with Derby Day wagering increasing by 9% [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to grow Derby Week through ticketing revenue, broadcast rights, wagering, sponsorships, and selective renovations [8][15] - A new seven-year contract with NBC will provide a $10 million increase in adjusted EBITDA for 2026, with prime-time coverage for the Kentucky Oaks race expected to enhance visibility and engagement [11][12] - Strategic investments in renovations and expansions at Churchill Downs Racetrack are aimed at elevating guest experiences and broadening appeal [16][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about continued growth in Derby Week driven by ticket revenue, strategic investments, and increased wagering [18][24] - The company is focused on building brand awareness and customer relationships in new markets, particularly in Virginia and New Hampshire [19][20] - Management highlighted the importance of capital management and disciplined allocation to support long-term growth [32][35] Other Important Information - The company is targeting to close the acquisition of 90% of the Casino Salem project in New Hampshire in the third quarter, with plans for a state-of-the-art gaming and entertainment destination [21] - The company has retained rights to the associated HRM license in Salem and is evaluating alternative uses for a second HRM license [22] - The company is working on implementing HRM-based electronic table games and has developed a new HRM roulette product [23] Q&A Session Summary Question: Expectations around pricing at the Starting Gate Pavilion - Management expects increased demand and pricing for the Starting Gate Pavilion due to positive reviews and word-of-mouth from last year [38] Question: Discussion around the New Hampshire market - Management indicated that further details will be shared post-transaction closure, emphasizing the strong market demographics and location advantages [41][44] Question: International attendance and marketing for the Derby - Management noted that thoroughbred racing is a global game and emphasized ongoing efforts to build international connections and sponsorships [49][50] Question: Federal tax bill impact on cash flow and capital allocation - Management expects similar cash tax savings for 2026 as in 2025, with a focus on strategic investments and share repurchases when stock value is not reflective of long-term potential [55][56] Question: Growth potential in Kentucky and Virginia HRM markets - Management believes there is substantial runway for growth in both states, with strong metrics supporting ongoing optimism [59] Question: Impact of prediction markets on horse racing - Management does not see prediction markets as a significant risk due to the nature of pari-mutuel wagering and existing legal protections [64][66] Question: Future M&A opportunities in New Hampshire - Management is focused on executing the Salem project but is open to evaluating future opportunities in the region [68] Question: Strategic goals for the Oaks schedule change - The change aims to enhance national visibility for the Oaks and drive attendance and wagering leading into the Derby [72][74] Question: Plans for the area between the First Turn and Sky Terrace - Management confirmed that this area will not disrupt the 2026 Derby and will be detailed in future communications [80] Question: Sponsorship relationships and growth - Management emphasized a strategic approach to sponsorships, focusing on building win-win partnerships and increasing international interest [86]