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CRO、CDMO“十年”复盘 ,积极把握历史性机会!
WuXi AppTecWuXi AppTec(SH:603259)2025-08-05 03:15

Summary of the Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The CRO (Contract Research Organization) and CDMO (Contract Development and Manufacturing Organization) industries have experienced significant changes over the past decade, driven by increased R&D investment and rising outsourcing rates. It is projected that the outsourcing rate will increase from nearly 50% to 60%-65% by 2030 [1][2][3]. - The domestic CXO companies maintain competitiveness in the global market due to advantages such as an engineer dividend, cost advantages, and policy support [1][5][6]. Key Insights and Arguments - The CDMO industry is entering a commercialization phase, with innovative drug technologies like ADC (Antibody-Drug Conjugates) and peptides driving high growth in niche segments [2][16]. - The CXO sector is currently valued at approximately 32 times earnings for 2025, which is about 30% lower than the average over the past three years. As market expectations improve, profitability is expected to gradually increase, leading to a "Davis Double" effect where valuation and earnings both rise [2][18]. - The industry has faced challenges from geopolitical tensions and the COVID-19 pandemic, but recent easing of these tensions and strong performance from leading companies like WuXi AppTec have contributed to a recovery in orders, with growth rates returning to 20% for CDMO orders [1][4][15]. Important but Overlooked Content - The CXO industry has undergone a cycle of mergers and acquisitions, capacity expansion, and increased demand from downstream clients from 2016 to 2021, which has shaped its current landscape [2][9]. - The impact of the Charles River third-quarter report, which fell short of expectations, led to a market pullback in the CXO sector, highlighting the sensitivity of the industry to performance metrics and external factors [1][13]. - The current investment environment is improving, with a notable increase in investment activity in early 2023, despite previous fluctuations due to macroeconomic factors [15][21]. - The supply-demand dynamics in the industry are showing signs of recovery, with overseas markets recovering better than domestic ones, and a general upward trend in pricing due to supply clearing processes [23]. Recommendations for Key Companies - Companies with a strong focus on overseas revenue, such as WuXi AppTec, Kelun Pharmaceutical, and Kanglongda, are showing significant marginal improvements. Domestic companies like Zhaoyan, Mediso, and Tigermed are also recommended for their strong market positions [24].