全球观点 - 有望降息-Global Views_ On Course for Cuts

4 August 2025 | 10:30AM EDT Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research 2. Negative payroll revisions can occur for three reasons. First, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) receives responses from only about 60% of establishments in time for the first preliminary release and assumes they are representative of the remaining 40%. But in a weakening economy, late responders are more likely to be firms under economic pressure that are cutting jobs. Second, the seasonal factors are re-estimated with each ...