Mach Natural Resources LP(US:MNR)2025-08-08 15:00Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported production of 84,000 BOE per day, with a composition of 23% oil, 53% natural gas, and 24% NGLs [22] - Average realized prices were $63.1 per barrel of oil, $2.81 per Mcf of gas, and $22.41 per barrel of NGLs, with prehedged realized prices lower by 11% for oil, 21% for gas, and 17% for NGLs compared to the first quarter [22] - Total revenues, including hedges and midstream activities, amounted to $289 million, with adjusted EBITDA of $122 million and operating cash flow of $130 million [23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has initiated 24 acquisitions, spending over $3 billion, and aims to maintain a long-term debt to EBITDA ratio of one times leverage [6][10] - The company plans to increase natural gas volumes to 70% post the Savinol and ICAV acquisitions, projecting natural gas to constitute at least 50% of revenue starting in 2026 [9][10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates total demand growth of upwards of 25 Bcf of gas per day by 2030, driven by LNG feed gas growth and power generation [16][17] - The San Juan acreage is strategically positioned to meet upcoming demand, with expected supply growth from various regions [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on maintaining financial strength, disciplined execution, and reinvestment rates to optimize distributions to unitholders [3][5][9] - The strategy includes acquiring cash-flowing assets at a discount and maintaining a low reinvestment rate to enhance operating cash flow [6][10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term rise of crude prices despite near-term headwinds, emphasizing the importance of maintaining leverage goals [4][10] - The company is optimistic about the natural gas market, expecting to pivot towards gas drilling as demand increases in 2026 [39] Other Important Information - The company plans to maintain production volumes through 2027 while spending less than 50% of operating cash flow and using excess cash to pay down debt [9][10] - The company has a robust operations team that has successfully maintained production levels [29] Q&A Session Summary Question: What part of the legacy Mid Con portfolio delivered strong production volumes? - Management indicated that normal operations and a couple of bolt-on acquisitions contributed to the production strength, with no extraordinary factors involved [29] Question: Can you provide details on the Brocklin 3MH well? - The Brocklin 3MH well is part of the deep Anadarko targets, with completion expected to start in late August to early September [30] Question: What led to a lower distribution this quarter? - A legal settlement reduced the distribution by $0.07 per unit, and lower gas prices contributed another $0.07 reduction compared to the first quarter [36] Question: What is the expected natural gas growth trajectory for 2026? - Management expects natural gas product mix to exceed 70% in 2026, with a strong belief in the market despite near-term headwinds [39] Question: How does the company balance its portfolio between low decline rate assets and emerging growth plays? - The company maintains a balanced portfolio that allows for flexibility in reinvestment rates, enabling growth while keeping production stable [47]