GREE(SZ:000651)2025-08-31 16:21Summary of Gree Electric Appliances (000651.SZ) Conference Call Company Overview - Company: Gree Electric Appliances - Ticker: 000651.SZ - Date of Report: 28 August 2025 Key Industry Insights - Industry: Air Conditioning and Consumer Appliances - Market Dynamics: Increased competition, particularly in the low-priced segment of the air conditioning market, has impacted sales performance. The commercial air conditioning segment has also shown weakness, with industry sales declining by 5.5% YoY in the first half of 2025 [1][2]. Financial Performance Highlights - 2Q25 Results: - Operating profit (OP) declined by 22% YoY, attributed to a 12% YoY decrease in sales, contrasting with a 14% YoY growth in 1Q25 [1]. - Net profit (NP) fell by 10% YoY, supported by a 51% YoY increase in net financial income [1]. - Operating cash flow (CF) reached Rmb28.3 billion in 1H25, significantly higher than Rmb5.1 billion in 1H24 but lower than Rmb30.9 billion in 1H23 [1][2]. - Sales Breakdown: - Total sales in 1H25 decreased by 3% YoY to Rmb97.6 billion. - Consumer appliance sales (mainly air conditioning) fell by 5% YoY to Rmb76 billion, representing 78% of total sales [2]. - Sales in the China market declined by 5% YoY to Rmb71 billion, while overseas sales increased by 10% YoY to Rmb16 billion [2]. - Margin Analysis: - Group gross profit (GP) margin decreased by 1.0 percentage point YoY to 28.7%, primarily due to a shift towards lower-margin business [3]. - The gross profit margin for consumer appliances dropped by 29 basis points YoY to 33.2% [3]. - Operating profit margin (OPM) contracted by 90 basis points YoY to 14.1% in 1H25 [3]. Future Outlook - Market Reaction: The company is expected to face negative market reactions due to weaker-than-expected 2Q25 results, particularly the decline in topline sales [1][9]. - Valuation: The target price for Gree is set at Rmb64.5, based on an 11x 2025E target P/E, reflecting a 40% discount to Haier's target P/E of 19x due to higher business uncertainties in the air conditioning segment [12]. Risks - Key Risks: - Prolonged channel de-stocking in air conditioning. - Weaker-than-expected performance in the Chinese property market. - Rising raw material prices could further impact profitability [13]. Additional Insights - Cost Management: Selling expenses decreased by 11% YoY, and the selling-to-sales ratio fell by 60 basis points YoY to 6.4% in 1H25, indicating improved cost management despite declining sales [3]. - Investment Income: The company reported a significant increase in net financial income, which helped cushion the impact of declining operational profits [1][10]. This summary encapsulates the critical financial and operational insights from Gree Electric Appliances' recent conference call, highlighting the challenges and opportunities within the air conditioning and consumer appliance industry.