Franco-Nevada(US:FNV)2025-08-31 16:21Summary of North American Precious Metals Weekly Industry Overview - The report focuses on the North American Precious Metals sector, particularly gold and silver prices, and their performance relative to the S&P 500 Index [1][3]. Key Points Gold Price Analysis - Gold prices are currently in a narrowing range, with a potential breakout target of $3,618 per ounce if it surpasses $3,420 per ounce [1][2]. - The current support levels for gold are at $3,285, $3,132, and $3,050, while resistance levels are at $3,350, $3,420, and $3,500 [2][15]. - The price of gold has fluctuated recently, ending the week at $3,372 per ounce, up 1.1% from the previous week [12]. Performance of Precious Metals Equities - The S&P/TSX Global Gold Index has increased by 82% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the S&P 500, which is up only 10% [3][26]. - Fresnillo, a silver-focused producer, has seen its share price nearly triple, up 194% year-to-date, driven by a 35% increase in silver prices [3][26]. - Senior gold producers, such as Gold Fields (+136%), Kinross Gold (+111%), and Newmont (+90%), have outperformed smaller and mid-tier producers [3][26]. Technical Analysis Insights - Technical analysis indicates that gold prices are forming a triangle pattern, with a breakout likely to occur soon [2][15]. - The report suggests that the market is currently more favorable for larger, senior gold producers compared to smaller peers [3][26]. Valuation Metrics - North American precious metal stocks are trading at an average of 2.03x NAV, which is within the historical range of 1.0-2.0x NAV [29][36]. - The report provides detailed valuation comparables for various gold producers, indicating their market cap, EPS, and P/NAV ratios [30][41]. Macroeconomic Indicators - The report notes the impact of macroeconomic factors, including US real rates and the strength of the US dollar, on gold prices [10][12]. - Recent market movements have been influenced by expectations surrounding Federal Reserve policies, particularly regarding interest rates [12]. Additional Insights - The report highlights the importance of monitoring technical levels and macroeconomic indicators for making informed investment decisions in the precious metals sector [2][12]. - The performance of precious metals equities is closely tied to the underlying commodity prices, with significant outperformance noted in the current year [3][26]. This summary encapsulates the key insights and data points from the North American Precious Metals Weekly report, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state of the gold and precious metals market.