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华海清科 - 晶圆减薄、划片、抛光设备订单稳健且产品扩张;2025 年符合预期;中性

Summary of Hwatsing (688120.SS) Conference Call Company Overview - Company: Hwatsing (688120.SS) - Industry: Semiconductor Equipment Key Financial Performance - 2Q25 Revenue: Rmb1.0 billion, representing a 27% YoY and 14% QoQ growth, in line with Goldman Sachs estimates [1][4] - Contract Liabilities: Increased to Rmb1.8 billion in 2Q25, indicating a solid order uptrend [2][4] - Net Income: Rmb272 million, reflecting an 18% YoY and 17% QoQ increase, consistent with estimates [4][10] - Gross Margin: Declined to 45.8%, slightly below the expected 46.7% [4][10] - Operating Income: Rmb290 million, up 56% YoY and 11% QoQ [4][10] Market and Product Insights - Semiconductor Capex: Positive outlook due to increasing semiconductor capital expenditures in China, particularly driven by AI chip demand [1] - Product Expansion: Diversification into thinning, dicing, polishing, and cleaning tools, with notable growth in the 12'' wafer thinning tool and Ion implantation tools [1][11] - Future Demand: Anticipated increase in demand for advanced chip packaging technologies, which will require more CMP and related equipment [1] Valuation and Ratings - Current P/E Ratio: Trading at 28x 2026E P/E, with a target multiple of 32x based on peer comparisons [1][15] - Price Target: Raised by 10% to Rmb148.0, indicating a potential upside of 22.8% from the current price of Rmb120.50 [15][24] - Investment Rating: Maintained at Neutral due to limited upside compared to other semiconductor companies [1][15] Earnings Revisions - Net Income Estimates: Revised up by 0%/1%/+2% for 2025E-27E, reflecting a better product mix [12] - EPS Revisions: Adjusted down by -2%/-1%/0% for 2025E-27E due to an increase in share count [12] Risks and Considerations - Key Risks: Variability in semiconductor capex expansion, order gains from clients, and the pace of new product introductions [22] Additional Insights - Operational Efficiency: Operating expenses remained flat at 17.9% of revenue, contributing to improved operating income [4][10] - Long-term Potential: Despite current valuation concerns, the long-term growth potential remains strong due to market trends and product innovations [1][15]