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博通公司(AVGO)-人工智能势头持续,新客户牵引推动 2026 年进一步加速 —— 买入
BroadcomBroadcom(US:AVGO)2025-09-07 16:19

Summary of Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) Conference Call Company Overview - Company: Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) - Industry: Semiconductor and Infrastructure Software Key Financial Highlights - Quarterly Revenue: $16.0 billion, exceeding expectations (Street: $15.9 billion) [2] - Gross Margin: 78.4%, in line with expectations [2] - Operating Margin: 65.5%, consistent with forecasts [2] - Operating EPS: $1.69, slightly below Goldman Sachs (GS) estimate of $1.73 but above Street estimate of $1.67 [2] - AI Semiconductor Revenue: $5.2 billion, matching GS estimate and exceeding Street estimate [2] - Infrastructure Software Revenue: $6.8 billion, above both GS and Street estimates [2] AI Semiconductor Growth - Year-over-Year Growth: AI Semiconductor revenue increased by 63% in Q3 [3] - Q4 Guidance: Expected AI Semiconductor revenue of $6.2 billion, up 66% YoY [3] - New Customer Conversion: Successfully converted a new custom silicon customer focused on inference, expected to contribute significantly starting in 2HFY26 with initial orders of $10 billion [3] - Revised Growth Expectations: Management now anticipates AI Semiconductor revenue growth of 108% in FY26, up from previous expectations of 50%-60% [3] Strategic Developments - Backlog: Total backlog exceeds $110 billion, indicating strong business visibility for the next two years [1] - CEO Announcement: CEO Hock Tan intends to remain in position through at least 2030 [1] - AI Networking: AI Networking represented 35% of AI revenue in Q3, but is expected to decrease as custom XPU revenue grows [10] Future Guidance - Q4 Revenue Guidance: Total revenue expected to be $17.4 billion, above GS and Street estimates [6] - AI Semiconductor Revenue Guidance: Projected at $6.2 billion, significantly above prior estimates [6] - Non-AI Semiconductor Revenue: Expected to grow in the low-double digits quarter-over-quarter [6] Price Target and Investment Rating - Price Target Increase: 12-month price target raised to $360 from $340 based on revised EPS estimates [8] - Investment Rating: Maintained as "Buy" due to leadership in AI custom compute and networking silicon [9] Risks and Considerations - Key Risks: Potential slowdown in AI infrastructure spending, share loss in custom compute, persistent inventory issues in non-AI segments, and increased competition in VMware [8] Summary of Estimates Changes - EPS Estimates: Raised by an average of 9% reflecting higher AI revenue expectations [7] - Long-term Revenue Projections: Significant increases in revenue estimates for AI Semiconductors for FY26 and FY27 [13] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, highlighting Broadcom's strong performance, growth in AI semiconductor revenue, strategic developments, and future guidance.