顺周期餐饮专家交流

Summary of Conference Call on the Restaurant Industry and Haidilao Industry Overview - The restaurant industry experienced a year-on-year decline in 2025, primarily due to the absence of consumer subsidies that were present in the same period last year, which ranged from 0.2 to 0.3 [4][3] - The price war among delivery platforms has also impacted the industry, with Haidilao opting not to participate in significant discounts, leading to a decrease in customer traffic [5][4] - The average table turnover rate in the restaurant industry was approximately 4 times in July and August 2025, consistent with national averages [2] Haidilao's Performance and Strategies - Despite pressure on table turnover rates, Haidilao maintained stable gross margins through cost control measures [4][8] - The company anticipates that the implementation of mandatory social security policies in September could increase labor costs by about 3 percentage points, but it does not plan to raise prices [8][9] - Haidilao is focusing on optimizing store locations and sizes to enhance space utilization and investment returns [10] - The company has lowered the threshold for franchise operations, resulting in new franchise stores performing comparably to company-owned stores, indicating acceptance of the new policies [12][13] Competitive Landscape - The competitive environment in the restaurant industry has intensified, with brands like Banlu Hotpot seeking to go public, creating pressure on existing players [11] - Haidilao aims to avoid direct competition with Banlu Hotpot, which targets a higher-end market, while Haidilao focuses on the mass market [11] Cost Management and Future Outlook - The increase in social security costs is manageable and will not significantly raise overall operational costs [15] - Haidilao's external delivery business remains limited, as the product offerings are not well-suited for delivery, and the company prefers to focus on scaling its sub-brands [14] - The company has implemented innovative strategies to enhance table turnover, such as themed events and promotions, which have yielded positive results in specific periods [18] - The overall market environment is challenging for new restaurant brands, with cautious consumer spending impacting the development of new brands [17] - The average customer spending for mass-market hotpot has been declining, while the spending for banquet-style barbecue remains stable at around 100-110 yuan [17] Conclusion - The restaurant industry is navigating a challenging landscape with various pressures, including competition and changing consumer behavior. Haidilao's strategic focus on cost control, franchise expansion, and innovative marketing is aimed at maintaining its market position and improving performance in the second half of 2025 [20][21]