Micron Technology(MU) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a gross margin above 50%, marking the highest level since mid-fiscal 2022, with DRAM margins also higher than that period [40][41] - The operating margin is the highest since November 2018, driven by improved market conditions and pricing [40][41] - The company expects second quarter gross margin to increase relative to the first quarter [42] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The NAND business is improving, with a focus on higher-value SSD products, although it remains below 2022 levels [40] - The company is transitioning from $13.8 billion in net capital expenditures in 2025 to approximately $18 billion in 2026, primarily for DRAM construction and equipment [13] - The company is exiting the managed NAND segment to concentrate on the data center market, which is expected to yield better ROI [11][87] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The demand for NAND SSDs in servers and data centers is expected to increase significantly in calendar 2026, driven by large hyperscalers needing more storage for AI deployments [8][9] - The average capacities for SSDs are anticipated to escalate rapidly, with high-capacity drives becoming more common in AI servers [54] - The DRAM industry is currently tight, and this is expected to further tighten in 2026 due to robust demand and limited supply growth [38] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to leverage its strong position in the data center SSD market and has announced a new product portfolio to capitalize on this [9] - The focus is on disciplined investments and maximizing ROI across its product portfolio, particularly in HBM and DRAM segments [17][20] - The company is being thoughtful about long-term agreements with customers, considering factors like U.S. manufacturing and potential tariff impacts [85][86] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about improving NAND industry conditions and the tightness in the DRAM market, which is expected to continue [9][40] - The company anticipates that the HBM business will have a higher through-cycle ROI compared to non-HBM DRAM [19][20] - Management highlighted the significant shift towards data center demand, which is driving pricing and profitability across all market segments [66] Other Important Information - The company is ramping its one-gamma DRAM production, which is expected to be the primary source of bit growth for fiscal 2026 [45] - The company has achieved significant improvements in HBM3E yields and is well-positioned for the HBM4 market [62][75] - The company is not providing specific margin details by product line but expects strong ROI capabilities for HBM products [47][48] Q&A Session Summary Question: State of the NAND industry and pricing expectations - Management indicated that the bits down in the current quarter are noise based on segment mix and that demand from hyperscalers will drive future growth [8][9] Question: CAPEX guidance and spending allocation - The company confirmed that the increase in CAPEX is primarily for DRAM construction and equipment, with little additional NAND spending [13][27] Question: HBM market share aspirations - Management expects to gain higher market share in HBM compared to previous years, driven by strong product performance and customer demand [17][24] Question: Gross margin outlook and contributing factors - Management noted that improving market conditions and pricing are key factors driving gross margin improvements, with expectations for continued growth [40][41] Question: Transitioning to one-gamma DRAM - The company is pleased with the one-gamma ramp and expects it to provide significant bit growth in fiscal 2026 [45] Question: Long-term agreements with customers - Management acknowledged interest in long-term agreements but emphasized the need for careful consideration of pricing and value creation [85][86] Question: Impact of exiting managed NAND on DRAM sales - Management confirmed that exiting managed NAND would not negatively impact DRAM sales, as strong relationships with customers remain intact [90]