Summary of Zhongce Rubber Conference Call Company Overview - Zhongce Rubber has production capacities by the end of 2024 for 22 million all-steel tires, 72 million semi-steel tires, 7 million cross-ply tires, and over 120 million two-wheeler tires, with a product structure primarily focused on all-steel and semi-steel tires, contributing over 80% of revenue [2][4] Financial Performance - In 2024, all-steel tires contribute 46% of the company's revenue and approximately 40% of gross profit, while semi-steel tires account for 35% of revenue and about 40% of gross profit. The gross margin for semi-steel tires is 22.8%, compared to 17.1% for all-steel tires [2][5] - The overall gross margin for Zhongce Rubber has maintained a range of 15% to 20% over the past few years, projected to be 19.5% in 2024, influenced by raw material costs, market competition, and overseas tariffs [2][6][7] Market Position - By the first half of 2025, Zhongce Rubber is expected to achieve the highest revenue and net profit in the domestic tire industry, with a global market share exceeding 10% for all-steel tires and over 4% for semi-steel tires [3][10] International Sales - In 2024, overseas sales account for 48% of total revenue, with North America contributing 17%, other Asian countries 11%, and Europe 10%. The profit contribution from overseas sales is expected to exceed 44%, as the profit level from international sales is higher than domestic [2][8] Management and Control Structure - The actual controllers of Zhongce Rubber are Qiu Jianping and Qiu Fei, who collectively hold 42.25% of the voting rights. The management team, led by Shen Jinrong, is responsible for the company's operations [2][9] Competitive Advantages - Zhongce Rubber leads domestic peers in scale and net profit, with the largest all-steel tire capacity and third-largest semi-steel tire capacity as of the end of 2024. The company maintains a high operating rate of over 90% for all-steel tires and controls sales and management expenses at around 5% [2][10] Future Expansion Plans - Following a successful IPO, Zhongce Rubber raised 4.1 billion yuan to expand production capacity, including projects in Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Tianjin, and Thailand, expected to add 44 million semi-steel and 7 million all-steel tires over the next two to three years [2][11] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Projected net profits for Zhongce Rubber are expected to reach 4.25 billion yuan in 2025 and 4.94 billion yuan in 2026, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 10.5 and 9.1, which are favorable compared to the industry average of around 12. A target price of 63 yuan is set, indicating a potential upside of 22.9% [2][12]
中策橡胶20251013