Citizens Financial (CFG) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported EPS growth of $0.13 sequentially, or 14% [4] - Net Interest Income (NII) grew by 3.5% sequentially, driven by a 5 basis point expansion in Net Interest Margin (NIM) [4][10] - Fee growth was 5% compared to Q2, with a record performance in capital markets [4][12] - The Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio increased by 10 basis points to 10.7% [4][18] - The company achieved a positive operating leverage of 3% with expense growth held to just 1% [4][9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The private bank saw a significant increase in deposits, growing by $3.8 billion to $12.5 billion, surpassing the year-end target of $12 billion [5][19] - The private bank contributed $0.08 to EPS this quarter, up from $0.06 in the prior quarter [11] - Capital markets delivered a record third quarter, with strong performance across all categories [10][13] - The wealth business achieved record advisory fees due to strong inflows and market appreciation [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Average deposits increased by 1%, driven by growth in the private bank and commercial sectors [16] - Non-interest-bearing balances rose by about $1.5 billion or 4%, maintaining a steady mix at 22% of the total deposits [16] - Net charge-offs decreased to 46 basis points from 48 basis points in the prior quarter, indicating favorable credit trends [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on executing strategic initiatives, particularly in the private bank and private wealth sectors, aiming for superior organic EPS growth relative to peers [8][18] - The "Reimagine the Bank" initiative is underway, with expectations for net benefits to positively impact results starting in 2027 [6][22] - The company aims to build a top-performing bank by enhancing customer service and operational efficiency [9][22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in sustaining momentum into 2026, despite macroeconomic uncertainties [8][25] - The outlook for Q4 includes continued attractive earnings growth, driven by positive operating leverage and favorable credit trends [8][24] - The company remains focused on executing its strategic agenda while navigating a dynamic environment [25] Other Important Information - The Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.46, reflecting a 9.5% increase [9] - The company executed $75 million in stock buybacks during the quarter [10][18] - The private bank is expected to double its contribution to the bottom line within the next three years [51] Q&A Session Summary Question: Expected margin trajectory - Management forecasts a margin of $305 for Q4, with a medium-term target of $325-$350, influenced by various factors including asset sensitivity and pricing spreads [30][32] Question: Role of M&A in the company's future - The company is focused on organic growth through the private bank and does not foresee significant M&A activity unless high-value opportunities arise [34][35] Question: Private bank outlook and AUM targets - Management is confident in achieving deposit growth but acknowledges that AUM targets may depend on the timing of liftouts [42][44] Question: Sensitivity of Fed funds to margin - Management has layered in hedges to protect against aggressive Fed cuts, maintaining a balanced view on interest rate risks [54][62] Question: Cost-saving opportunities related to "Reimagine the Bank" - The company is exploring various cost-saving measures, including vendor simplification and optimizing branch networks, to fund investments [63][67]