Churchill Downs rporated(CHDN) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved record net revenue and record adjusted EBITDA in Q3 2025, with the Live and Historical Racing segment also reporting record figures [8][28] - The Live and Historical Racing segment grew revenue by 21% and adjusted EBITDA by 25% compared to the prior year quarter, marking the twenty-first consecutive quarter of record growth [29] - Free cash flow generated was $166 million or $2.34 per share, up 13% from the prior year quarter, with a free cash flow yield of approximately 10% [33][34] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Wagering Services and Solutions segment delivered record adjusted EBITDA driven by the growth of the Xacta business, benefiting from Kentucky and Virginia properties [32] - Regional gaming properties performed well, with adjusted EBITDA for wholly owned gaming properties increasing over $3 million, excluding the impact of removing HRMs from Louisiana operations [32] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is expanding its HRM operations in Kentucky and Virginia, with significant growth in gross gaming revenues and customer databases [19][20] - The Virginia market showed strong performance, with GGR per unit per day increasing every month of Q3 2025 [30] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to invest $280 million to $300 million in a new structure called Victory Run, aimed at enhancing the guest experience during Derby Week [15] - Five key growth catalysts for the Kentucky Derby were identified: ticketing revenue, broadcast rates, wagering, sponsorships, and selective renovations [10][14][16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term growth potential of the Kentucky Derby and HRM properties, emphasizing the importance of strategic investments [26][37] - The company is focused on maintaining a disciplined capital allocation strategy while aiming to reduce leverage below four times by 2026 [35][36] Other Important Information - The company announced a 7% increase in dividends, marking the fifteenth consecutive year of increased dividends per share [35] - The federal tax bill signed on July 4 is expected to improve free cash flow through lower cash tax payments [36] Q&A Session Summary Question: ROI targets for Victory Run - The company targets a 20% unlevered IRR, focusing on achieving this within three years [41] Question: Prospective opportunity for ETGs - Management acknowledged the importance of electronic table games as a growth opportunity but noted the need for regulatory progress [45][47] Question: Capital allocation strategy - The company is committed to balancing share repurchases with capital investments, aiming to reduce leverage while maintaining strategic growth [50][51] Question: Benefits of owning properties outright - Owning real estate provides stability and predictability, which management believes is not fully recognized in the market [53][54] Question: M&A environment - There has been a recent pickup in M&A activity, and the company remains opportunistic in both acquisitions and sales [57][59] Question: Virginia illegal machines enforcement - Management reported strong enforcement against illegal machines but acknowledged ongoing challenges, stating it has not significantly impacted business [90][92]