星源材质20251026

Summary of the Conference Call for Xingyuan Material Industry Overview - The lithium battery separator industry saw total shipments of approximately 1.2 billion square meters in Q3 2025, with a year-end target of 5 billion square meters [2][4] - Industry capacity utilization exceeded 70%, with leading companies nearing full production; however, downstream cost pressures have led to price system challenges, gradually improving the oversupply situation [2][6] - It is expected that by 2026, industry capacity utilization could reach over 80% [2][6] Company Performance - Xingyuan Material's dry separator monthly shipments stabilized at 130-140 million square meters, while wet separator shipments reached approximately 800 million square meters in Q3 2025 [2][7] - The company maintained a high capacity utilization rate, particularly for wet separators, which have been at full production since the beginning of 2025 [4][7] - Q3 gross margins were approximately 20% for both dry and wet separators, with an overall gross margin of about 18% [11] Market Dynamics - Domestic customer prices saw a decline in Q3 due to cost control pressures from leading battery cell manufacturers, while overseas demand for high-end products increased [8] - Positive signals for price increases were observed starting in September, with dry separator prices expected to be influenced by year-end bidding results [8][20] - The dry separator market structure is favorable, with no new capacity expected post-2023, leading to a balanced supply-demand situation [10] Future Outlook - Demand for the entire industry is projected to grow by over 20% in 2026, with capacity utilization expected to improve to over 80% [9] - The company plans to add 1 billion square meters of capacity in Malaysia in 2026, with an expected increase of 600-800 million square meters overall [14] - The company is optimistic about future pricing trends for dry separators, with a confirmed price increase of over 20% since late 2024 and further increases planned for 2025 [20] Customer and Product Insights - Major customers for dry separators include CATL, Xinwangda, and LG, while wet separators serve clients like Xinwand, Haicheng, and AEG [5][17] - New customer Qingtao Technology has begun significant purchases of LATP semi-solid battery solid electrolyte membranes, indicating potential for stable growth in this area [18] Investment and Expansion Plans - The company has no plans to expand wet separator capacity in the next two years, focusing instead on previously announced projects [15] - Ongoing projects include facilities in Foshan, Malaysia, the USA, and Sweden, with significant investments in overseas projects [24][28] Financial Considerations - The company is experiencing its first operational loss historically, but industry leaders have already entered loss phases [30] - The company anticipates that overseas production will gradually reflect performance growth in 2026, alongside improvements in industry capacity utilization and price recovery [30]