Rambus(US:RMBS)2025-10-27 22:02Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for Q3 was $178.5 million, exceeding expectations, with product revenue at a record $93.3 million, representing a 15% sequential increase and a 41% year-over-year growth [12][13] - Cash generation for the quarter was strong at $88 million, contributing to a total of $673.3 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities [12][14] - Non-GAAP net income for the quarter was $68.2 million, with an expected non-GAAP earnings per share range between $0.64 and $0.71 for Q4 [14][16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The chip business achieved a record product revenue of $93 million, driven by DDR5 RCD leadership and new product contributions [6][12] - Silicon IP business is seeing increased demand driven by AI, with significant traction in high-speed memory and interconnect solutions [7][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The market for servers and DIMMs is expected to grow mid to high single digits, with specific tailwinds from AI workloads and the refresh cycle in hyperscaler and enterprise segments [8][51] - The total addressable market (TAM) for the RCD market is estimated at $800 million, with additional opportunities in companion chips and MRDIMM [46][48] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on delivering complete solutions for high-performance memory subsystems, leveraging expertise in signal and power integrity [5][10] - The strategic roadmap includes capitalizing on the growing opportunities in data centers and AI, with a strong alignment to positive secular trends [10][16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in ongoing success and long-term profitable growth, driven by product leadership in DDR5 and increasing momentum in new products [10][12] - The economic environment remains dynamic, with careful monitoring of supply chain situations and inventory levels [36][56] Other Important Information - The company is not on leading-edge technology nodes, which helps mitigate supply chain risks, and it has strong relationships with manufacturing partners [36] - The MRDIMM is expected to ramp in large volumes towards the end of 2026 and into 2027, with a long-term market share goal similar to DDR5 [19][46] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can MRDIMM replicate DDR5 market share? - Management believes that with time, MRDIMM can achieve similar market share as DDR5, depending on the rollout of platforms from Intel and AMD [19] Question: Opportunities from Ethernet scale-up networking architecture? - The silicon IP portfolio is well-positioned to capitalize on the demand for high-speed memory and interconnect solutions, particularly with the transition to PCIe7 [21] Question: Supply chain considerations and lead times? - The company has grown inventory to support Q4 demand and has not seen notable customer inventory buildup, maintaining a robust supply chain [36] Question: RCD market share potential? - Management indicated that there is room to gain share in the RCD market, with an objective of achieving 40%-50% market share [38] Question: Update on total addressable market (TAM)? - The TAM for the RCD market is around $800 million, with additional opportunities in companion chips and MRDIMM expected to contribute in the future [46][48] Question: Outlook for CXL and Rambus strategy? - Rambus is focusing on silicon IP for CXL, with a belief that memory expansion through MRDIMM will be a promising usage model [64] Question: MRDIMM qualification and share capture? - The success in capturing share will depend on collaboration with customers and platform providers, with a complete chipset being critical for interoperability [70] Question: Traction in PCIe7 and secured IP? - Security represents about 50% of the silicon IP business, with traction in PCIe7 and HBM being strong among large customers [71]