NOV(US:NOV)2025-10-28 16:02Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q3 2025, NOV Inc. reported revenues of $2.18 billion, a slight decrease of less than 1% year-over-year and sequentially, with a net income of $42 million, or $0.11 per fully diluted share [3][16] - Adjusted EBITDA totaled $258 million, representing 11.9% of sales, with free cash flow generation remaining robust at $245 million [4][16] - Operating profit was $107 million, or 4.9% of sales, with EBITDA margins improving sequentially despite rising tariff and inflationary pressures [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The energy equipment segment generated $1.25 billion in revenue, up 2% year-over-year, with EBITDA increasing by $21 million to $180 million, resulting in a 14.4% EBITDA margin [18] - Capital equipment sales accounted for 63% of the energy equipment segment's revenue, increasing 20% year-over-year due to strong growth in offshore production equipment [18] - The intervention and stimulation capital equipment revenue fell double digits year-over-year due to a steep drop in demand for pressure pumping equipment in North America, partially offset by strong demand for coil tubing and wireline equipment [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America represented 57% of the energy products and services segment revenue, growing 7% year-over-year, while international markets saw a 15% year-over-year revenue decrease due to activity declines in the Middle East and Latin America [25] - The global rig count declined by 8% year-over-year, impacting overall activity levels [25] - Offshore oil output is forecasted to rise to approximately 13 million barrels a day by 2026, making deepwater the leading source of incremental supply growth [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on capitalizing on two major structural shifts: the globalization of unconventional shale development and the re-emergence of deepwater and offshore development [7][10] - NOV aims to leverage its technology and equipment to support the emerging build-out of international shale development and deepwater projects, which are expected to drive demand for its products for years to come [10][14] - The company is executing strategic sourcing initiatives to reduce tariff impacts and is focused on removing structural costs to improve margins and returns [17][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects market conditions to remain soft through the next few quarters, with tariffs and inflation uncertainty weighing on margins [14] - Looking further ahead, the second half of 2026 and beyond is anticipated to see strengthening demand across both offshore and international land markets [14][29] - The company remains optimistic about the long-term outlook, driven by growing demand, natural decline rates, and a decade of underinvestment in exploration [29] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 6.2 million shares for $80 million and paid dividends of $28 million, bringing total capital return to shareholders year-to-date to $393 million [17] - Tariff expenses increased approximately $6 million sequentially, with expectations of around $25 million for the fourth quarter [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can the energy equipment business continue to show decent year-over-year growth through 2026 despite a softer near-term market? - Management indicated that while capital equipment demand remains strong, there are concerns about the general softness in the oilfield due to OPEC barrels affecting commodity prices [48][50] Question: What is the outlook for margins in 2026 considering the mix of capital equipment versus aftermarket? - Management expressed confidence in the capital equipment margins but noted that the timing of contracts and market conditions will be key variables [51][52] Question: What is the general outlook for orders in the fourth quarter? - Management expects orders to potentially slip below 100% book-to-bill but remains optimistic about the long-term trend [59][60] Question: Can you elaborate on the build-out of unconventionals in regions like Argentina and Saudi Arabia? - Management highlighted ongoing unconventional prospecting in various countries and the increasing demand for NOV's services in these markets [68][70] Question: What is the outlook for FPSOs and FIDs in 2025 and beyond? - Management noted a cautious outlook for FIDs in the near term but expects demand to pick up significantly in late 2026 and 2027 as the oil overhang is resolved [76]