Ambev(ABEV) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net revenue grew by 4% year-to-date, driven by a resilient net revenue per hectoliter growth of 7% [5][24] - EBITDA growth of 3% with a margin expansion of 50 basis points in the third quarter [5][24] - Normalized EPS increased by 8% year-over-year [5][24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Premium and super premium brands grew mid-teens, gaining sellout market share reaching close to 50% [19] - The balanced choice portfolio grew by 36%, with non-alcohol beers expanding above 20% [7][19] - Cash COGS per hectoliter grew below net revenue per hectoliter, indicating effective cost management [6][11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Brazil Beer experienced a decline in volumes, primarily due to weather conditions and consumer purchasing power constraints [12][14] - The CSD industry in Brazil saw a deceleration from low single-digit growth in Q1 to mid-single-digit decline in Q3 [20] - In Argentina, beer volumes declined mid-single digits, underperforming the industry [21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to lead and grow the beer category by placing customers and consumers at the center of decision-making [6][8] - Digitization and monetization of the ecosystem are key pillars, with a focus on expanding the addressable market and enhancing consumer insights [9][10] - A $1 billion share buyback program was approved to return cash to shareholders, reflecting confidence in long-term value creation [6][29] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management views the current industry headwinds as situational rather than structural, with confidence in long-term fundamentals [14][17] - The upcoming FIFA World Cup is seen as a significant opportunity to boost brand engagement and sales [31][46] - Management remains optimistic about the fourth quarter, expecting improved conditions compared to the previous year [45][46] Other Important Information - The effective tax rate decreased to 6.7% from 23.6% year-over-year, influenced by one-off effects [26] - Cash flow from operating activities totaled BRL 6.9 billion, despite softer volumes and higher cash taxes [29] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on COGS performance - Management attributed lower costs to a series of initiatives focused on production efficiency and cost control [35][38] Question: Beer industry environment in Brazil - Management noted that weather and consumer purchasing power were significant factors affecting volume performance, with expectations for improvement in Q4 [42][45] Question: Sustainability of SG&A reduction - Management explained that the reduction was partly due to phasing of marketing expenses and variable compensation adjustments, while also emphasizing ongoing investments in sales and marketing [57][60] Question: Pricing strategy and volume reaction - Management indicated that the price increase had minimal impact on industry performance, with a focus on maintaining prices in line with inflation [65][66] Question: Performance in Argentina and Bolivia - Management highlighted strong results in Bolivia offsetting challenges in Argentina, with confidence in long-term prospects for both markets [77][78]