Mindray(SZ:300760)2025-10-31 01:53Summary of Mindray's 3Q25 Earnings Call Company Overview - Company: Mindray (300760.SZ) - Industry: Medical Technology (Medtech) Key Financial Results - 3Q25 Revenue: Rmb 9,091 million, an increase of 1.5% year-over-year (yoy), in line with Goldman Sachs estimates (GSe) of Rmb 9,102 million [1] - Net Profit: Rmb 2,501 million, a decrease of 19% yoy, missing GSe of Rmb 3,043 million due to higher-than-expected operating expense ratio of 28.7% compared to GSe of 23.7% [1] Revenue Breakdown by Segment - PMLS (Patient Monitoring and Life Support): - Revenue growth of +2.6% yoy - Domestic revenue decline narrowed to -25% in 3Q25 from -57% in 1H25 - Overseas sales grew +14% yoy, accounting for 70% of total PMLS revenue [2] - Medical Imaging (MI): - Revenue growth of +1% yoy - Domestic sales declined -30% yoy while overseas revenue increased +7% yoy [2] - IVD (In Vitro Diagnostics): - Revenue decline of -2.8% yoy - Domestic growth at -22% and overseas growth at +14% [2] Market Dynamics - Destocking Phase: The domestic PMLS business is in a destocking phase, with inventory normalization expected to persist into 4Q25, and revenue recovery anticipated in 2026 [2][9] - IVD Market Challenges: The domestic IVD market faces pressures from medical insurance reform, leading to declines in testing volume and pricing [2] - Market Share: Mindray's market share in chemiluminescence, biochemistry, and coagulation reagents is approximately 10%, indicating potential for growth [2] Management Guidance and Future Outlook - Destocking Completion: Management expects the destocking process to be completed by 4Q25, with channel inventory normalizing to around two months [9] - Overseas Revenue Growth: The company anticipates overseas revenue to continue outpacing domestic growth, with an increase in the overseas share of total revenue [9] - Innovation Focus: Plans to strengthen the product portfolio in surgical and electrophysiology segments, with long-term optimism about consumables for gastrointestinal and respiratory interventions [9] - Surgical Robotics: The surgical robotics business is in early stages, with commercialization expected to take several more years [9] Financial Estimates and Price Target - Revised Estimates: - 2025E Revenue: Rmb 33,442 million (down 1.1% from previous estimate) - 2026E Revenue: Rmb 36,966 million (down 1.7% from previous estimate) - 2025E Net Profit: Rmb 8,771 million (down 16.8% from previous estimate) [14] - Price Target: The 12-month target price is set at Rmb 285, down from Rmb 314, maintaining a Buy rating [13][16] Risks and Challenges - Key Risks: - Impact from Value-Based Procurement (VBP) on product pricing - Lower-than-expected penetration into top-tier hospitals in China - Challenges in entering North American and European markets - Patent-related lawsuit risks - Unexpected changes in trade policies [17] Conclusion - Mindray remains a leading medtech device manufacturer in China, with strong growth potential driven by healthcare infrastructure development and overseas expansion. Despite current challenges, the company is positioned for recovery and growth in the coming years, particularly in the context of its low market share and cost-effective product offerings [15]