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英伟达-第三季度前瞻:预计季度业绩超预期并上修指引,聚焦 5000 亿美元预期、OpenAI 部署及 Rubin 时间线
NvidiaNvidia(US:NVDA)2025-11-01 13:47

Summary of Nvidia Corp. (NVDA) Conference Call Notes Company Overview - Company: Nvidia Corp. (NVDA) - Industry: Semiconductors, specifically focusing on AI infrastructure and data center solutions Key Points and Arguments Revenue Forecast and Expectations - Nvidia is expected to provide incremental details on its $500 billion Datacenter revenue forecast, which is a focal point for investors [1][3] - The company has raised its Datacenter segment revenue estimates by approximately 13% due to positive management commentary and revisions to hyperscaler capital expenditures [2][5] - The updated revenue estimates for FY2027 and FY2028 are 22% and 28% above Street estimates, respectively [5] OpenAI Deployments - Investors are keen to hear about the timing and revenue contributions from OpenAI's planned deployments in calendar year 2026 [1][3] - The preparedness of the industry for these deployments is also a point of interest [3] Product Launch and Ramp-Up - The introduction of the Rubin product line is anticipated to ramp up in CY26, with investors focusing on the product mix and trajectory [1][3] - The potential for resumption of business operations in China is another area of interest for investors [1] Stock Performance and Market Sentiment - Investor expectations have increased due to multiple AI infrastructure announcements and the recent GTC event [1] - The stock is expected to react positively if guidance shows significant upside [1] - The debate around hyperscaler capital expenditures and contributions from non-traditional customers in CY26 is expected to influence stock price action towards year-end [4] Financial Metrics - The company’s total revenue for FY3Q26 is estimated at $55.556 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 58% [8] - The gross margin is projected at 73.5%, with operating income expected to be $36.616 billion, indicating a 57% increase year-over-year [8] - Non-GAAP EPS estimates for FY3Q26 are set at $1.28, which is 3% above the Street [2][8] Price Target and Risks - The updated 12-month price target for Nvidia is set at $240, up from $210, based on a 35x P/E ratio applied to a normalized EPS estimate of $6.85 [9][10] - Key downside risks include a slowdown in AI infrastructure spending, increased competition, margin erosion, and supply constraints [9] Segment Performance - The Datacenter segment is expected to generate $49.388 billion in revenue for FY3Q26, a 61% increase year-over-year [8] - The Gaming segment is projected to reach $4.732 billion, reflecting a 44% increase [8] - Networking revenue is expected to surge by 181% to $8.775 billion [8] Additional Important Information - The company maintains a "Buy" rating, indicating strong confidence in its future performance [1] - The market capitalization of Nvidia is noted at $5.0 trillion, with an enterprise value of $4.9 trillion [10] This summary encapsulates the critical insights and projections regarding Nvidia Corp. as discussed in the conference call, highlighting the company's strategic focus on AI and data center growth, alongside financial expectations and market dynamics.