stellation Energy (CEG) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported third-quarter GAAP earnings of $2.97 per share and adjusted operating earnings of $3.04 per share, which is an increase of $0.30 per share compared to the same period last year [6][19]. - The company experienced fewer nuclear outage days, both planned and unplanned, compared to the same period last year, contributing to higher generation volumes and lower O&M expenses [19][20]. Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The nuclear fleet achieved a capacity factor of 96.8%, which is approximately 4% higher than the industry average, equating to the output of an additional reactor on a full-year basis [22]. - The renewable and natural gas fleets performed near plan, with renewable energy capture at 96.8% and power dispatch match at 95.5% [22]. Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted a strong performance in capacity revenues following the 2025-2026 capacity auction, with non-CMC units capturing almost all benefits from higher capacity prices [20]. - ZEC prices in both the Midwest and New York were lower compared to the third quarter of last year, impacting overall revenue [21]. Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on closing the Calpine transaction and integrating the two companies to enhance value for customers and shareholders [30]. - There is a strong public support for nuclear energy, with nearly three-quarters of the public supporting it and nine out of ten believing in extending licenses for existing plants [11][12]. - The company is exploring energy options for Maryland and the region, including a commitment to bring 835 megawatts through the restart of the Crane Clean Energy Center [16][17]. Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ability to complete transactions in the data economy market, noting that customer sophistication has increased significantly [8][9]. - The company is optimistic about the future of nuclear energy, citing bipartisan support and recent government initiatives aimed at expanding nuclear capabilities [12][14]. - Management highlighted the importance of practical reforms to facilitate the interconnection of large loads to the grid, which is crucial for maintaining leadership in artificial intelligence [9]. Other Important Information - The company has reached a landmark agreement with the state of Maryland regarding the continued operation of the Conowingo Dam for the next 50 years [10]. - The company has executed a renewal and upsizing of its credit facilities, positioning itself for the close of the Calpine transaction with $14 billion of liquidity post-deal [27][28]. Q&A Session Summary Question: Confidence in announcing another hyperscale deal by year-end - Management is focused exclusively on front-of-the-meter deals and expects to complete transactions soon, potentially before the fourth quarter call [36][38]. Question: Potential delay in the Calpine asset sale process - Management feels confident about the timeline for divestiture and is not in a hurry to complete asset sales, as the market is supportive [49][51]. Question: Thoughts on power market dynamics and new entrants - Management sees significant growth in data center investments and believes the interest in new generation reflects a durable growth cycle [53][54]. Question: Update on Three Mile Island progress - Progress is going well, with critical items completed and no new challenges emerging [60][61]. Question: Impact of rising energy prices on contracts - Rising energy prices are favorable for the company, enhancing the environment for asset sales and contract negotiations [62][64]. Question: Specifics on natural gas capacity in Maryland - The company plans to relocate lightly used assets from the Midwest and New England to Maryland, which are state-of-the-art in terms of performance [72]. Question: Comfort level with new nuclear construction - Management remains cautious about new nuclear construction, emphasizing the need for durable PPAs and clear pricing before committing capital [73][76]. Question: Demand response initiatives and customer willingness - The company is seeing strong interest from industrial customers in demand response programs, with innovative product structures being developed [86][88]. Question: Retail margins in PJM - Retail margins are on the upper end of historical ranges, with stronger margins observed in sustainability-related products [90]. Question: Concerns about the ability to sign contracts for generation assets - Management is confident in executing transactions and believes that the demand response product offering anticipates market needs [96][98]. Question: Portfolio of generating assets for long-term PPAs - Management sees room for long-term deals and is focused on executing contracts to meet growing demand [105][106].