CBMT(SH:603099)2025-11-20 02:16Summary of Changbai Mountain Conference Call Industry and Company Overview - The conference call focuses on the Changbai Mountain tourism industry, particularly its winter sports and scenic area operations. Key Points and Arguments 1. Visitor Trends and Impact - From November 2024 to February 2025, nearly 3 million mainland Chinese tourists are expected to visit Japan, with an average spending of approximately 13,000 RMB per person. Some of these tourists may shift to domestic ice and snow tourism, benefiting Changbai Mountain's visitor numbers [2][3]. 2. Operational Enhancements for 2025 - Changbai Mountain and the Pinghu Ski Resort opened early on November 2, 2025, compared to mid to late December in previous years. The expansion of the western scenic area is expected to lead to a double-digit growth in visitor numbers, potentially reaching 20% [2][4]. 3. Stock Performance and Market Sentiment - The stock price of Changbai Mountain has not yet surpassed the pre-2024 winter peak, but there is increasing market attention and potential for further price catalysts [2][4]. 4. Future Development Plans for 2026 - The North Slope Corridor project is set to open before the summer of 2026, which is expected to increase the North Slope's visitor capacity by 10%. Additionally, vehicle procurement will continue to enhance capacity during peak seasons [5][6]. 5. Transportation Improvements - The opening of the high-speed rail from Shenyang to Changbai Mountain will reduce travel time to the western scenic area to just 20 minutes, significantly increasing visitor flow. The southern slope's capacity is also expected to improve [6]. 6. Profit Forecasts - For 2025, profits are projected to be between 150 million to 160 million RMB, with expectations of 190 million RMB in 2026. The return of Japanese tourists could further enhance profitability [2][7]. Additional Important Insights - The early opening of the ski season and the expected increase in visitor capacity are critical factors that could lead to a successful winter season for Changbai Mountain [4][6]. - The potential shift of tourists from Japan to domestic destinations due to geopolitical tensions is a significant driver for Changbai Mountain's growth [3].