BBVA(US:BBAR)2025-11-26 16:00Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - BBVA Argentina's inflation-adjusted net income for Q3 2025 was ARS 38.1 billion, a decrease of 39.7% quarter over quarter, resulting in a quarterly ROE and ROA of 4.7% [7] - The capital ratio decreased by 170 basis points to 16.7%, primarily due to the temporary impact of sovereign debt valuation, yet remains at ample levels for growth [6][15] - The liquidity ratio reached 44.3% of deposits, down from 48.7% in the previous quarter [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total loans to the private sector grew by 6.7% in real terms, with a consolidated market share of 11.39% [5][12] - Deposits increased by 10.2% in real terms, with market share rising to 10.09% [6][14] - Non-performing loan (NPL) ratio for private loans was 3.28%, below the system average, indicating effective credit risk management [6][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Deposit rates surged from 30% in July to peaks of 70% in September due to political uncertainty and monetary policy changes [4] - The demand for exchange rate hedging increased, leading to some dollarization of deposits [4] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on operational efficiency through strict expense control and active pricing strategies to navigate a volatile environment [3][5] - BBVA Argentina aims to maintain growth in credit and operational efficiency while managing risks associated with high NPLs [17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the high interest rates have negatively impacted intermediation margins and increased delinquency levels, but they remain optimistic about future growth [5][26] - The expectation is for a challenging fourth quarter, with potential increases in NPLs, but a recovery is anticipated in 2026 [26][31] Other Important Information - The bank's total operating expenses decreased by 3.4% quarter over quarter, reflecting proactive efficiency measures [9][10] - The bank continued dividend payments corresponding to the 2024 financial year income, demonstrating commitment to shareholder value [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Guidance on loan and deposit growth - Management reiterated guidance of 45%-50% real loan growth and 30%-35% deposit growth, with ROE expectations in the high single digits [19][20] Question: Genuine loan growth versus refinancing - Management confirmed that loan growth is genuine, primarily driven by US dollar loans and commercial lending, while retail loans have seen no growth due to high NPLs [20] Question: Daily reserve requirements and NIM outlook - Changes in reserve requirements are expected to improve liquidity and profitability, with a stable NIM anticipated moving forward [24][28] Question: Asset quality and NPL trends - Management expects NPLs to rise slightly in the fourth quarter but anticipates a return to normal levels in 2026 [26][31] Question: Optimal capital levels - The bank aims to stabilize capital ratios around 17%, with a comfortable management level slightly below 13% [31][32]