BBVA(US:BBAR)2025-11-26 16:02Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - BBVA Argentina's inflation-adjusted net income for Q3 2025 was ARS 38.1 billion, a decrease of 39.7% quarter over quarter, resulting in a quarterly ROE and ROA of 4.7% [8][9] - The capital ratio decreased by 170 basis points to 16.7%, primarily due to the temporary impact of sovereign debt valuation, yet remains at ample levels to support growth [7][15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total loans to the private sector grew by 6.7% in real terms, with a consolidated market share of 11.39% [6][13] - Deposits increased by 10.2% in real terms, with market share rising 44 basis points to 10.09% [7][14] - Non-performing loan (NPL) ratio reached 3.28%, remaining below the system average, reflecting effective credit risk management [7][13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Deposit rates surged from 30% in July to peaks of 70% in September, influenced by political uncertainty and monetary policy changes [4][5] - The liquidity ratio stood at 44.3% of deposits, indicating a comfortable liquidity position despite a decrease from the previous quarter [7][16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company maintains a focus on operational efficiency, managing fees and controlling expenses to navigate a volatile environment marked by high interest rates [3][4] - BBVA Argentina aims to continue driving activity and operational efficiency while generating sustained value for shareholders [17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the high interest rates have negatively impacted intermediation margins and increased delinquency levels, but they remain optimistic about future growth [5][10] - The expectation is for a challenging Q4 2025, with potential increases in NPLs, but a recovery is anticipated in 2026 [34][35] Other Important Information - The bank's total operating expenses decreased by 3.4% quarter over quarter, reflecting proactive efficiency measures [10][11] - The bank continued dividend payments corresponding to the 2024 financial year income, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder value [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Guidance on loan and deposit growth - Management reiterated guidance of 45%-50% real loan growth and 30%-35% deposit growth, with ROE expectations in the high single digits [22][23] Question: Genuine loan growth versus refinancing - Management believes the loan growth is genuine, primarily driven by US dollar loans to companies, with retail loans remaining flat due to high NPLs [23] Question: Daily reserve requirements and NIM evolution - Changes in reserve requirements are expected to improve liquidity and profitability, with a stable NIM anticipated moving forward [32][38] Question: Asset quality outlook - NPLs are expected to rise slightly in Q4 2025 but should stabilize and improve in 2026 [34][35] Question: Capital level stabilization - Management aims for a capital ratio around 17% for 2025, with a comfortable management level slightly below 13% [46][47] Question: Credit demand and NPL absorption - Demand for retail loans is expected to recover slowly, while commercial loans are seeing high demand, particularly in US dollars [45][50] Question: Coverage ratios and NPL outlook - Coverage ratios are currently comfortable at 98%-100%, with expectations for improvement in 2026 as NPLs stabilize [62]