2026 年美国经济展望：迷雾中的前景-2026 US Economic Outlook_ Through a glass, darkly. Mon Nov 17 2025

J P M O R G A N North America Economic Research 17 November 2025 2026 US Economic Outlook: Through a glass, darkly Table 1: US economic forecasts | | Forecasts | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 3Q25 4Q25 1Q26 2Q26 3Q26 4Q26 1Q27 2Q27 3Q27 4Q27 2025 | | | | | | | | | | | 2026 | 2027 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | %q4/q4 %q4/q4 %q4/q4 | | | Real GDP (%q/q, saar) | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1. ...