substack.com-基础我的 1999 年以及 2000 年部分迈克尔布瑞 --- Foundations My 1999 and part of 2000
AppleApple(US:AAPL)2025-12-01 00:49

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Company/Industry Involved - The discussion primarily revolves around the investment strategies and experiences of Michael Burry, particularly focusing on his insights from the late 1990s and early 2000s, including his views on companies like Apple and the broader technology sector during that time. Core Insights and Arguments - Investment Environment in 1999: Burry describes the late 1990s as a period of significant wealth and rapid growth in Silicon Valley, with young professionals enjoying lavish lifestyles, which he observed while working as a resident physician in Palo Alto [6][8]. - Stock Market Behavior: He notes that many physicians at Stanford were preoccupied with stock trading, highlighting a culture of speculation and the presence of a market bubble [7][8]. - Apple's Performance: Burry's article "Buffett Revisited" was a response to criticism he faced for investing in Apple, emphasizing the importance of thorough analysis and patience in investing [9][10]. He points out that Apple had been trading in a narrow range for 11 years, which led to skepticism about its value [10]. - Historical Stock Performance: Burry provides examples of major companies like Coca-Cola, American Express, and Disney, which experienced significant capital losses over extended periods, illustrating the risks of long-term investments in seemingly stable companies [11][12][13]. - Investment Philosophy: He emphasizes the need for a margin of safety when investing, as advocated by Benjamin Graham, and suggests looking for undervalued stocks, particularly in distressed industries [32][35]. Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - Personal Investment Journey: Burry shares his personal investment journey, including how he used a wrongful death settlement to invest in stocks rather than pay off student loans, which ultimately led him away from a career in medicine [22][23]. - Online Investment Community: He discusses the early days of online investing, mentioning his website and the lack of competition at the time, which allowed him to gain visibility and credibility in the investment community [20][21]. - Performance of VSN Fund: The VSN Fund, which Burry managed, reportedly returned 38.7% in a year, outperforming major indices like the Dow and Nasdaq, showcasing his successful investment strategies during that period [32][37]. - Cassandra Unchained: Burry's current focus is on a project titled "Cassandra Unchained," where he continues to analyze stocks and market trends, drawing on historical patterns [40][41]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, providing insights into Burry's investment philosophy, historical context, and personal experiences in the investment landscape of the late 1990s.