德昌股份20251209

Summary of the Conference Call for 德昌股份 Company Overview - 德昌股份 is primarily engaged in the automotive EPS motor business and has extended its high-end technology into the robotics sector, specifically focusing on joint motors [2][3]. Key Points and Arguments Automotive EPS Motor Business - The automotive EPS motor business is entering a growth phase, with projected revenue of 400 million yuan in 2024, accounting for 10% of total revenue, and expected to reach 1.5 billion yuan by 2027, with a net profit margin of approximately 15% [2][8]. - The company has established itself as a domestic leader in the automotive EPS motor sector, overcoming significant technical barriers such as heat dissipation, low vibration, and low noise [3][4]. - The global market for automotive EPS motors is largely dominated by foreign companies, but 德昌股份 has made significant progress and aims to capture top-tier domestic and international clients [3][4]. Robotics Joint Motor Business - 德昌股份 is actively developing robotics joint motors, which require high performance standards due to their complex applications and stringent requirements for heat dissipation and miniaturization [5][6]. - The company is currently engaging with top-tier domestic and international clients, including indirect connections with Tesla, indicating a strong potential for market share expansion [6][10]. Household Appliances Business - The household appliances segment, which constitutes about 70%-80% of revenue, is viewed as a cash flow source. Despite facing challenges from tariffs and price reductions, the company aims to enhance profitability through increased self-manufacturing rates and project optimization [2][4][8]. - The household appliances business is expected to maintain a steady growth rate of 10%-15%, although profitability may be impacted in 2025 due to external pressures [2][8]. Financial Projections - Overall net profit is projected to be around 200 million yuan in 2025, influenced by fluctuations in the household appliances segment, with an increase to approximately 400 million yuan in 2026 [9]. - The company’s future financial performance may exceed expectations, particularly if the robotics segment begins to contribute significantly [7][10]. Market Perception and Misconceptions - There is a common misconception that 德昌股份 is merely a traditional household appliance company, which overlooks the potential of its emerging businesses in automotive EPS motors and robotics [4][10]. - The market has not fully recognized the growth potential of these new sectors, which could lead to significant valuation upside in the coming years [2][10]. Investment Recommendation - 德昌股份 is recommended for continued tracking and investment due to its strong growth potential across multiple core business areas, including household appliances, automotive EPS motors, and robotics [11]. - The company’s focus on core business development and its ability to achieve breakthroughs in new markets suggest a high likelihood of stock price doubling within the next three years [11].