隆鑫通用20251217

Summary of Longxin General's Conference Call Company Overview - Longxin General's total revenue for 2024 reached 12.69 billion yuan, with motorcycle business accounting for 75% and general machinery business contributing 3.54 billion yuan, representing 21% of total revenue [2][3] - The company is transitioning from OEM to developing its own brands, with self-owned high-end brand revenue in the first half of 2025 growing by 42.43% year-on-year to 2.334 billion yuan, making up 24% of total revenue [2][5] Industry Insights - The global ATV market is expected to grow to approximately 15 billion USD by 2028, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 4% [4][15] - The Chinese motorcycle engine market is recovering, with sales expected to increase by 10.6% in 2024 to 16.08 million units [4][16] - The general machinery market in China is expanding, with production increasing from less than 500,000 units in 2000 to over 30 million units in 2023, making China a key production base [18][19] Financial Performance - Longxin General's net profit is projected to be 2 billion yuan in 2025 and may reach 2.5 billion yuan in 2026, indicating a relatively low valuation at around 15 times earnings [4][24] - The company has seen a significant recovery in profits in 2024 after a decline from 2018 to 2021, with goodwill impairment issues largely resolved [8] Market Performance - Longxin's high-end motorcycle brand, Wujing, performed well in the European market, generating 1.021 billion yuan in sales in 2024, accounting for 6% of total revenue [2][5] - The company has shifted from low-displacement motorcycles to high-end brands, with market share in Spain increasing from 4.2% in 2024 to 6.6% in the first eight months of 2025 [2][14] Competitive Landscape - Longxin General is addressing competition issues with Zongshen Power through equity restructuring, expected to be completed by the end of 2026 [2][7] - The company has a strong technical foundation in engine manufacturing, with over 200 models and partnerships with international brands like BMW [12][17] Strategic Initiatives - Longxin General plans to enhance its high-end brand through technological innovation and international collaboration, while also focusing on resolving competition issues to improve operational efficiency [11] - The company is implementing a "one plus N" strategy for overseas market expansion, focusing on core markets like Italy and Spain before expanding to surrounding regions [13][14] Future Outlook - The company aims to maintain a compound growth rate of about 10% in its communication business, despite slower growth [22] - Longxin General's future market value could reach 40-45 billion yuan based on distribution valuation methods, indicating significant upside potential from its current market cap of just over 30 billion yuan [4][24]