ORIENT CABLE (NBO)(SH:603606)2025-12-21 11:01Summary of Ningbo Orient Wires & Cables Conference Call Company Overview - Company: Ningbo Orient Wires & Cables (603606.SS) - Recent Development: Secured new cable orders worth Rmb3.125 billion Key Points New Orders Secured - Total new cable orders amount to Rmb3,125 million, representing 34.4% of NBO's projected 2024 revenue and adding 16.0% to its order backlog of Rmb19,551 million as of October 23, 2025 [2][1] - Breakdown of new orders: - Rmb1.9 billion from extra-high voltage subsea cable contracts for power interconnection projects in Asia - Rmb108 million from marine engineering, offshore O&M, and umbilical cable contracts - Rmb162 million from high-voltage land cables - Rmb955 million from low-to-mid-voltage land cable orders from State Grid, China Southern Power Grid, and railway projects [2][1] Earnings Growth Expectations - Anticipated earnings growth for NBO to accelerate in Q4 2025 and 2026, with a projected net profit of Rmb914 million for the first nine months of 2025, a decline of 1.9% year-over-year [1] - Growth driven by the delivery of subsea cable orders secured since Q4 2024, including significant projects like the 500kV AC cables for Fanshi 1 and ±500kV HVDC cables for Qingzhou 5 & 7 [1] Market Opportunities - The European offshore wind market presents new opportunities, particularly following Poland's recent offshore wind auction, which awarded contracts for projects totaling 3.4GW capacity [3][7] - NBO has previously secured subsea cable orders from the 1.5GW Baltica 2 offshore wind farm in Poland, indicating a strong position in the European market [7] Valuation and Investment Recommendation - Target price for NBO shares set at Rmb81.00, indicating a potential upside of 36.8% from the current price of Rmb59.22 [5][8] - Expected total return of 37.9%, including a dividend yield of 1.1% [5] Risks - Key risks include: - Lower-than-expected demand for submarine cables due to reduced offshore wind installations in China - Margin pressures from increased competition among cable manufacturers - Potential international trade restrictions affecting export sales [9] Financial Projections - Earnings summary for NBO: - 2023A: Net Profit Rmb1,000 million, EPS Rmb1.454, P/E 40.7 - 2024A: Net Profit Rmb1,008 million, EPS Rmb1.466, P/E 40.4 - 2025E: Net Profit Rmb1,422 million, EPS Rmb2.068, P/E 28.6 - 2026E: Net Profit Rmb1,883 million, EPS Rmb2.738, P/E 21.6 - 2027E: Net Profit Rmb2,265 million, EPS Rmb3.293, P/E 18.0 [3] Conclusion - NBO is positioned for growth with a strong order backlog and favorable market conditions, particularly in offshore wind projects. However, investors should remain cautious of potential risks that could impact demand and margins. The investment recommendation remains a Buy based on the company's growth prospects and valuation metrics.