StarPower(SH:603290)2026-01-09 05:13Summary of StarPower Conference Call Company Overview - Company: StarPower (603290.SS) - Industry: Semiconductor, specifically focusing on power semiconductors including SiC (Silicon Carbide) and GaN (Gallium Nitride) technologies Key Points 1. Revenue Growth Outlook for 2026 - Management is optimistic about revenue growth across various end markets in 2026 - AI Servers: Growth driven by the AI infrastructure cycle, with collaborations with global-tier power supply vendors for SiC devices expected to expand in 2026 [2] - Automotive: Anticipated increase in EV penetration rates and SiC adoption, with efforts to engage more global-tier car OEMs, particularly in Europe [2] - Industrial: Growth through penetration of global-tier customers such as Delta, Schneider, ABB, and Siemens [2] - Photovoltaic: Market share expansion despite modest end demand [2] - Home Appliances: Strong growth supported by increased market share and IPM capacity expansion [2] 2. SiC and GaN Technology Outlook - The pricing gap between SiC and IGBT (Insulated Gate Bipolar Transistor) has narrowed from Rmb2,000-3,000 to within Rmb1,000, driven by lower SiC substrate costs [3] - SiC devices are expected to be used in EVs priced at Rmb200k+ in 2025, potentially decreasing to Rmb100k+ in 2026 [3] - Management maintains that their SiC pricing remains competitive due to superior quality, with a yield rate of 80% [3] - Expansion into GaN technology is underway, with products capable of covering over 1,000V, targeting applications in EVs and AI data centers [3] 3. Pricing Trends - Management expects the pricing decline in power semiconductors to moderate to normal levels by 2026, as some smaller vendors may exit the market due to losses [4] - Despite ongoing pricing pressures, the company anticipates a stable gross margin trend in 2026 due to product mix upgrades [7] 4. Valuation and Price Target - The company is rated Neutral with a 12-month target price of Rmb121.20, representing a 21.0% upside from the current price of Rmb100.17 [10] - Valuation methodology includes applying a 31.0x target P/E multiple to the 2026E EPS [8] 5. Key Risks - Risks include stronger or weaker-than-expected IGBT market growth, variability in new design wins and market share gains, and competition levels [9] Additional Insights - The company is focusing on upgrading its product mix to mitigate pricing pressures in the power semiconductor market [1] - Management's proactive approach in expanding product lines and capturing new markets is viewed positively, although the overall market conditions remain challenging [1][2]