SIEYUAN(SZ:002028)2026-01-12 01:41Summary of Conference Call on Power Equipment Industry Industry Overview - The power equipment industry is experiencing significant changes, particularly in high-voltage equipment demand domestically and supply shortages overseas. Domestic demand for high-voltage switches is high, while high-voltage transformer supply is sufficient. Conversely, overseas markets face a shortage of high-voltage transformers, with lower demand for high-voltage switches compared to domestic needs [1][3]. Key Insights and Arguments - Market Demand and Supply Dynamics: - Post-2022, global high-voltage power equipment supply decreased by approximately 15% due to the pandemic. However, in 2023, the acceleration of new energy construction has led to a surge in demand for supporting booster substations, which is 4-5 times that of traditional power stations. Overall demand is expected to grow by 20%-30% due to grid upgrade investment plans [1][10]. - Data centers are significantly increasing the demand for power equipment, requiring substations rated between 200-500 kV, with faster delivery times. A single GW data center typically requires 8-10 transformers, with North America's 40 GW installation capacity corresponding to 30%-40% of traditional demand [1][11]. - Revenue Projections: - By 2025, total revenue in the power equipment sector is projected to reach 2 trillion RMB, encompassing domestic grid markets, non-grid systems, and overseas markets. The investment in the transmission and transformation segment is expected to be 160 billion RMB, with 90 billion RMB allocated for equipment [1][12]. - Investment Framework: - The core investment framework for the power equipment sector includes six business categories: intelligence, high-voltage equipment, medium-voltage equipment, meters, materials, and low-voltage electrical appliances. Each category plays a distinct role within the power system [2]. Company-Specific Insights - Siyuan Electric: - Siyuan Electric is entering the high-voltage switch supplier system for 750 kV and above and is actively expanding its overseas market for high-voltage transformers. The company is expected to see significant growth in North American orders, projected to exceed 1.5 billion RMB by 2026 [3][19]. - The company aims to increase market share through enhanced switch offerings domestically and by capitalizing on the high demand for high-voltage transformers overseas [7][8]. Competitive Landscape - Mid to Low-End Products: - The market for mid to low-end products, such as distribution equipment and meters, is characterized by low barriers to entry and intense competition. However, in specialized scenarios like data centers and rail transit, mid-range components can achieve gross margins exceeding 35% due to higher safety and reliability requirements [5]. - Solid-State Transformers: - Solid-state transformers are emerging as a significant trend, offering advantages such as space-saving, reduced copper and energy consumption. They are seen as the ultimate solution for data centers due to their modular design and rapid load adjustment capabilities [20]. Risks and Challenges - Market Risks: - The solid-state transformer sector faces risks including challenges in overseas certification for domestic manufacturers, the need for technological breakthroughs due to the small capacity of current solid-state devices, and intense competition leading to price pressures [22]. Conclusion - The power equipment industry is poised for growth driven by new energy demands and technological advancements. Companies like Siyuan Electric are well-positioned to capitalize on these trends, particularly in high-voltage equipment and solid-state transformer markets. However, investors should remain cautious of the competitive landscape and potential risks associated with emerging technologies.