跨资产聚焦：地缘政治风险-Cross-Asset Spotlight-Geopolitical Risk

January 12, 2026 02:12 PM GMT M Update Cross-Asset Spotlight | Global Geopolitical Risk Signals, Flows, & Key Data: A weekly summary of key cross-asset monitors, data, moves, and models tracking sentiment, fund flows, and positioning. Last week, oil ended the week higher on supply disruption concerns, DXY gained, and the market-implied probability of Fed rate cuts fell. Key highlights from last week: Exhibit 1: Morgan Stanley forecasts Return/Risk Base Case Volatility Q4 2026 Forecast Q4 2026 Return Forecas ...